US Cities With the Lowest Natural-Hazard Risk
Cities ranked by the AreaProfile Physical Resilience signal
Large cities with the least exposure to floods, storms, fire and other natural hazards, derived from the FEMA National Risk Index. This is not a measure of crime.
50 locations · Calculated September 26, 2026 · Download CSV
The supporting columns show on a wider screen, and every column is in the CSV.
50 places, ranked nationally.
| # | City | Score | Top hazard | Fema risk index | Shortlist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee, WI | 98.4 | Cold wave | 98 | |
| 2 | Washington, DC | 97.3 | Heat wave | 98 | |
| 3 | Boston, MA | 97.2 | Lightning | 94 | |
| 4 | Cleveland, OH | 97.2 | Cold wave | 98 | |
| 5 | Madison, WI | 97.0 | Cold wave | 94 | |
| 6 | Ann Arbor, MI | 96.1 | Strong wind | 89 | |
| 7 | Rochester, NY | 96.1 | Cold wave | 94 | |
| 8 | South Bend, IN | 95.4 | Cold wave | 86 | |
| 9 | Columbia, MD | 95.2 | Winter weather | 72 | |
| 10 | Green Bay, WI | 94.5 | Cold wave | 90 | |
| 11 | Grand Rapids, MI | 94.2 | Strong wind | 92 | |
| 12 | Albany, NY | 94.0 | Landslide | 86 | |
| 13 | Minneapolis, MN | 93.3 | Cold wave | 98 | |
| 14 | St. Paul, MN | 93.2 | Cold wave | 95 | |
| 15 | Virginia Beach, VA | 92.2 | Heat wave | 58 | |
| 16 | Quincy, MA | 92.0 | Inland flooding | 92 | |
| 17 | Hampton, VA | 91.9 | Hurricane | 62 | |
| 18 | Baltimore, MD | 91.3 | Heat wave | 95 | |
| 19 | Waco, TX | 90.6 | Tornado | 91 | |
| 20 | Akron, OH | 90.2 | Hail | 91 | |
| 21 | Spokane Valley, WA | 89.3 | Cold wave | 90 | |
| 22 | Spokane, WA | 89.3 | Cold wave | 90 | |
| 23 | Tyler, TX | 89.2 | Heat wave | 84 | |
| 24 | Cincinnati, OH | 89.0 | Tornado | 96 | |
| 25 | Syracuse, NY | 88.9 | Strong wind | 91 | |
| 26 | New Bedford, MA | 88.9 | Inland flooding | 90 | |
| 27 | Des Moines, IA | 88.9 | Strong wind | 91 | |
| 28 | Brockton, MA | 88.7 | Coastal flooding | 90 | |
| 29 | Cambridge, MA | 88.2 | Ice storm | 97 | |
| Also rank 29, tied | Lowell, MA | 88.2 | Ice storm | 97 | |
| 31 | Peoria, IL | 87.9 | Cold wave | 91 | |
| 32 | Billings, MT | 86.8 | Winter weather | 84 | |
| 33 | Toledo, OH | 86.5 | Tornado | 92 | |
| 34 | Sandy Springs, GA | 85.5 | Lightning | 96 | |
| 35 | Worcester, MA | 85.4 | Ice storm | 94 | |
| 36 | Yonkers, NY | 85.3 | Strong wind | 96 | |
| 37 | Round Rock, TX | 85.2 | Hail | 91 | |
| 38 | Dayton, OH | 85.1 | Strong wind | 92 | |
| 39 | Cedar Rapids, IA | 85.1 | Strong wind | 87 | |
| 40 | Macon-Bibb County, GA | 84.8 | Heat wave | 70 | |
| 41 | Lansing, MI | 84.6 | Strong wind | 84 | |
| 42 | Newport News, VA | 84.5 | Hurricane | 72 | |
| 43 | South Fulton, GA | 83.9 | Lightning | 95 | |
| 44 | Arlington, VA | 83.7 | Heat wave | 67 | |
| 45 | Atlanta, GA | 83.2 | Lightning | 96 | |
| 46 | Sioux Falls, SD | 83.2 | Ice storm | 87 | |
| 47 | Olathe, KS | 83.2 | Winter weather | 95 | |
| 48 | Joliet, IL | 83.1 | Cold wave | 95 | |
| 49 | Overland Park, KS | 83.0 | Winter weather | 94 | |
| 50 | Meridian, ID | 82.2 | Winter weather | 88 |
Methodology
Cities are ranked by the AreaProfile Physical Resilience signal: 70% FEMA’s expected annual loss rate, inverted, and 30% the FEMA community resilience percentile, both aggregated from the counties a city overlaps by population weighting. A higher score means lower exposure. The loss rate is used rather than FEMA’s composite risk index on purpose: the composite folds social vulnerability and community resilience into the hazard itself, so a wealthy city in a hurricane path can score as low risk. Both of those measures are worth knowing and are published separately on every profile; neither answers the question of how much damage the hazards do.
Some entries here hold the same value and therefore the same rank. Where that happens the rank is printed once and the rows beneath it are left blank, because the order they appear in carries no meaning — there is nothing in the measurements to separate them.
What is excluded, and why
Cities under 100,000 residents. FEMA does not endorse this ranking; the underlying hazard scores are FEMA data, the resilience signal and this ordering are AreaProfile calculations.
The top 50 of the 351 cities that meet these criteria are listed.
Sources
- Federal Emergency Management Agency — National Risk Index (1.20.0)
Full details of how signals and the Area Score are calculated are on the methodology page, and how rankings like this one are built and reviewed is on the editorial policy page.