US Cities With the Lowest Natural-Hazard Risk

Cities ranked by the AreaProfile Physical Resilience signal

Large cities with the least exposure to floods, storms, fire and other natural hazards, derived from the FEMA National Risk Index. This is not a measure of crime.

50 locations · Calculated September 26, 2026 · Download CSV

The supporting columns show on a wider screen, and every column is in the CSV.

50 places, ranked nationally.

#CityScoreTop hazardFema risk indexShortlist
1Milwaukee, WI98.4Cold wave98
2Washington, DC97.3Heat wave98
3Boston, MA97.2Lightning94
4Cleveland, OH97.2Cold wave98
5Madison, WI97.0Cold wave94
6Ann Arbor, MI96.1Strong wind89
7Rochester, NY96.1Cold wave94
8South Bend, IN95.4Cold wave86
9Columbia, MD95.2Winter weather72
10Green Bay, WI94.5Cold wave90
11Grand Rapids, MI94.2Strong wind92
12Albany, NY94.0Landslide86
13Minneapolis, MN93.3Cold wave98
14St. Paul, MN93.2Cold wave95
15Virginia Beach, VA92.2Heat wave58
16Quincy, MA92.0Inland flooding92
17Hampton, VA91.9Hurricane62
18Baltimore, MD91.3Heat wave95
19Waco, TX90.6Tornado91
20Akron, OH90.2Hail91
21Spokane Valley, WA89.3Cold wave90
22Spokane, WA89.3Cold wave90
23Tyler, TX89.2Heat wave84
24Cincinnati, OH89.0Tornado96
25Syracuse, NY88.9Strong wind91
26New Bedford, MA88.9Inland flooding90
27Des Moines, IA88.9Strong wind91
28Brockton, MA88.7Coastal flooding90
29Cambridge, MA88.2Ice storm97
Also rank 29, tiedLowell, MA88.2Ice storm97
31Peoria, IL87.9Cold wave91
32Billings, MT86.8Winter weather84
33Toledo, OH86.5Tornado92
34Sandy Springs, GA85.5Lightning96
35Worcester, MA85.4Ice storm94
36Yonkers, NY85.3Strong wind96
37Round Rock, TX85.2Hail91
38Dayton, OH85.1Strong wind92
39Cedar Rapids, IA85.1Strong wind87
40Macon-Bibb County, GA84.8Heat wave70
41Lansing, MI84.6Strong wind84
42Newport News, VA84.5Hurricane72
43South Fulton, GA83.9Lightning95
44Arlington, VA83.7Heat wave67
45Atlanta, GA83.2Lightning96
46Sioux Falls, SD83.2Ice storm87
47Olathe, KS83.2Winter weather95
48Joliet, IL83.1Cold wave95
49Overland Park, KS83.0Winter weather94
50Meridian, ID82.2Winter weather88

Methodology

Cities are ranked by the AreaProfile Physical Resilience signal: 70% FEMA’s expected annual loss rate, inverted, and 30% the FEMA community resilience percentile, both aggregated from the counties a city overlaps by population weighting. A higher score means lower exposure. The loss rate is used rather than FEMA’s composite risk index on purpose: the composite folds social vulnerability and community resilience into the hazard itself, so a wealthy city in a hurricane path can score as low risk. Both of those measures are worth knowing and are published separately on every profile; neither answers the question of how much damage the hazards do.

Some entries here hold the same value and therefore the same rank. Where that happens the rank is printed once and the rows beneath it are left blank, because the order they appear in carries no meaning — there is nothing in the measurements to separate them.

What is excluded, and why

Cities under 100,000 residents. FEMA does not endorse this ranking; the underlying hazard scores are FEMA data, the resilience signal and this ordering are AreaProfile calculations.

The top 50 of the 351 cities that meet these criteria are listed.

Sources

Full details of how signals and the Area Score are calculated are on the methodology page, and how rankings like this one are built and reviewed is on the editorial policy page.