Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Area Profile

61,607 residents. Public schools, jobs, income, housing cost, climate and natural-hazard risk for Chapel Hill, in Orange County.

62out of 100
Area Score
Top 37% of 4,196 profiles measured

How we calculate this

How this area ranks

Data updated · 15 sources
Opportunity2,536th of 4,199 cities measured51
SchoolsTop 3% of 4,162 cities measured90
Growth3,170th of 4,224 cities measured37
Housing affordability2,915th of 4,218 cities measured57
ClimateTop 24% of 4,225 cities measured77
Physical resilienceTop 48% of 4,226 cities measured60
AccessTop 45% of 4,226 cities measured94
Economic stabilityTop 47% of 4,226 cities measured59
The quick read

Unemployment is 4.0% and median household income $85,989, putting employment conditions in the middle range of cities measured.

Public schools test above most of the state: 65% of students met the mathematics standard, placing the area in the top 3% of published profiles for schools.

Residential permitting has slowed: 137 units authorized over the past twelve months, 52% below the prior year. That follows a longer stretch moving the other way, through 2025.

These sentences are written by fixed rules from the measurements below — a statement appears because a number crossed a stated threshold, and the values behind it are stored with it. No figure anywhere on this site is invented, estimated or inferred to fill a gap. How this works.

At a glance

Population
61,607
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$85,989
Top 28% nationally
Density
2,840/sq mi
21.7 sq mi of land
Median age
25.8
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
North Carolina
Nearest major airport
RDU
15 mi · Raleigh-Durham Intl
Median home value
$613,700
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 4.0%, lower than in 61% of the 4,226 measured US cities.

Employment fell 2.8% over the past year, to 30,111 employed residents.

77% of adults hold a four-year degree, higher than 98% of measured US cities.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Income of new arrivalsOrange County, NC’s figurefiling years 2022–2023$89,93974th percentileof 4,101filing years 2022–2023
Income of those who leftOrange County, NC’s figurefiling years 2022–2023$85,69971st percentileof 4,101filing years 2022–2023
Median household income ±$5,5272024 ACS 5-Year$85,989Top 28%of 29,2232024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$2,6062024 ACS 5-Year$51,406Top 16%of 31,4202024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year6.8%Top 32%of 31,7732024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute ±0.9 min2024 ACS 5-Year21.3 minTop 23%of 31,5432024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year76.6%Top 2%of 31,9192024 ACS 5-Year
Drove alone to work ±2%2024 ACS 5-Year47.1%5th percentileof 31,4332024 ACS 5-Year
EmploymentJuly 202630,111Bottom 35%of 4,226July 2026
Employment change (3 years)July 2026−2.9%Bottom 14%of 4,226July 2026
Employment change (year over year)July 2026−2.8%Bottom 10%of 4,226July 2026
Labor forceJuly 202631,35135th percentileof 4,226July 2026
Labor force participation ±2%2024 ACS 5-Year82.0%Top 36%of 31,5132024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wageDurham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure2025 OEWS$79,700Top 18%of 3,7292025 OEWS
Median annual wageDurham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure2025 OEWS$60,720Top 19%of 3,7292025 OEWS
Public transit to work ±1%2024 ACS 5-Year7.0%97th percentileof 31,4332024 ACS 5-Year
Unemployment change (year over year)July 2026−0.3%Top 38%of 4,226July 2026
Unemployment rateJuly 20264.0%Top 39%of 4,226July 2026
Worked from home ±2%2024 ACS 5-Year28.1%94th percentileof 31,4332024 ACS 5-Year

Unemployment rate

2021/072022/072023/072024/072025/072026/075.03.0
Monthly unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, most recent value 4.0% in July 2026. It has been rising for the last 2 months, over a series running from 2020-01 to 2026-07. A break in the line is a month the Bureau of Labor Statistics did not publish for this area — it is left empty rather than estimated.

Median household income, successive ACS releases

202120222023202486k77k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $85,989 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.

Largest occupations — Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
Software Developers9,790$135,620
Retail Salespersons5,850$31,790
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants5,820$46,860
Fast Food and Counter Workers5,350$29,170
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand5,250$37,750
Cashiers4,840$29,920

Searches the 40 largest occupations here that have a published wage.

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

65% of students met the state standard in mathematics and 67% in reading, across the schools here that reported results.

There are 13.3 students for every full-time teacher across 20 public schools, fewer than in most measured places.

Public schools
22
2024-25 school year
Students per teacher
13.3
across 20 of them
Math proficiency
64.6%
Top 8% in North Carolina
Reading proficiency
67.1%
Top 7% in North Carolina
The 12 largest of 22 public schools, by enrollment.
SchoolDistrictStudentsPer teacherMathReading
Chapel Hill HighChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools1,60816.180%75%
East Chapel Hill HighChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools1,41916.575%81%
Smith MiddleChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools76313.966%70%
Margaret B. Pollard MiddleChatham County Schools73616.750%63%
McDougle MiddleChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools65911.864%66%
Culbreth MiddleChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools63212.259%63%
Phillips MiddleChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools60011.564%69%
North Chatham ElementaryChatham County Schools58813.150%54%
FPG ElementaryChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools53613.456%54%
New Hope ElementaryOrange County Schools52811.734%29%
Woods Charter · charterWoods Charter School5159.579%85%
McDougle ElementaryChapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools49713.165%67%

34.7% of students here are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. That describes the circumstances families arrive with, not how the schools perform, so it is shown and not scored.

Public schools only, from the NCES Common Core of Data, placed by ZIP code — which schools are in this place, not which one a particular address is zoned for. A dash in a proficiency column is a gap in the federal file, not a bad result. Proficiency is measured against North Carolina’s own standard, so it is ranked within state. How to read school figures.

Prices for everything a household buys run about 3% below the national average — the Bureau of Economic Analysis index reads 97.3, against 100 for the nation. Nationally, housing drives most of the spread between places in this index; other goods vary far less.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s house price index for the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area is up 48% over five years, and up 1.8% over the last year. It follows repeat sales of the same homes, so it measures price change rather than which homes happened to sell.

Homeowners here who pay a tax bill pay a median of $7,191 a year in real estate taxes, about 1.17% of the median home value.

HUD’s Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom, set near the 40th percentile of recent new leases, is $1,711, close to the $1,613 tenants already here pay.

At HUD’s Fair Market Rent of $1,711 a month for a two-bedroom, keeping rent to 30% of income takes a household income of about $68,400 a year, about 80% of the median household income here of $85,989.

The typical renter household here spends 36% of its income on rent, above the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened. Median gross rent runs $1,613 a month.

A median home at $613,700 costs 3.4 times the median income of its owner-occupied households, $180,885, above the historic benchmark of about 3 times income.

Cost of living
97.3

Prices here run about 3% below the national average. The spread between places is driven mostly by housing — goods vary far less — and this excludes taxes.

Published for the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area as a whole. Prices are regional — people shop, commute and rent across a metropolitan area rather than within a city boundary — so this describes the cost of living around this place better than a figure drawn to its own limits would.

Rent as a share of income
36.0%
Above the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
3.4×
median home value ÷ owner household income
Market rent, two bedroom
$1,711
what a new lease costs · FY2026
Median gross rent
$1,613
what tenants now pay · 2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$613,700
2024 ACS 5-Year

The figures above are measured against Chapel Hill’s median household income of $85,989, which describes the place rather than you. Enter your own and the ratio is recomputed against it. It stays in this browser.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Cost of living indexthe Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure202397.3Top 35%of 3,7002023
Home price change (1 year)the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure2026 Q2+1.8%32nd percentileof 4,1542026 Q2
Home price change (5 years)the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure2026 Q2+47.6%69th percentileof 4,1542026 Q2
Home price change (10 years)the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area’s figure2026 Q2+112.1%80th percentileof 4,1542026 Q2
Home price to income ±0.22024 ACS 5-Year3.4Bottom 26%of 26,8152024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate ±2%2024 ACS 5-Year47.4%7th percentileof 31,7172024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±5212024 ACS 5-Year23,58198th percentileof 32,1772024 ACS 5-Year
Market rent, one bedroomFY2026$1,507Bottom 44%of 4,072FY2026
Market rent, three bedroomFY2026$2,117Top 48%of 4,072FY2026
Market rent, two bedroomFY2026$1,711Bottom 46%of 4,072FY2026
Median gross rent ±$562024 ACS 5-Year$1,613Bottom 17%of 23,1202024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$21,2632024 ACS 5-Year$613,70092nd percentileof 29,1112024 ACS 5-Year
Median property taxes ±$3452024 ACS 5-Year$7,19197th percentileof 26,4402024 ACS 5-Year
Owner household income ±$6,0222024 ACS 5-Year$180,885Top 3%of 27,5482024 ACS 5-Year
Property tax rate ±0.07%2024 ACS 5-Year1.17%62nd percentileof 20,5432024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income ±2%2024 ACS 5-Year36.0%Bottom 18%of 22,9502024 ACS 5-Year
Seasonal and second homes ±1292024 ACS 5-Year20794th percentileof 32,3302024 ACS 5-Year
Second homes2024 ACS 5-Year0.9%61st percentileof 31,8952024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate2024 ACS 5-Year9.3%61st percentileof 31,7692024 ACS 5-Year
Vacant housing units ±4272024 ACS 5-Year2,39298th percentileof 32,3302024 ACS 5-Year

These measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with. They compare housing cost with local earnings only: transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not in them. How to read affordability, the two rent figures and the cost-of-living index.

Development Momentum

37/ 100
Ranks 3,170 of 4,224 published city profiles
The most recent move in permitting was upward, in a series running from 2020 to 2025. That is the direction of the recent run. The chart below compares the first year with the last, which can point the other way.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has grown 12% since 2020, reaching 64,028 in 2024.

Permitting has turned upward after moving the other way the year before: 243 units authorized in 2025, up 53% on the prior year.

Federal tax returns show Orange County, which contains Chapel Hill, lost about 1.0% of its residents through moves within the US in the most recent year, counting those who arrived against those who left. Households that moved in reported an average income of $89,939, close to the $85,699 of households that moved out.

At 2.2 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is below the median for measured US cities.

Units permitted
137
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
2.2
Bottom 45% nationally
Year over year
−52%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
22.6%
units in 5+ unit buildings

Population, annual estimates

2020202120222023202464k57k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population. It has been rising for the last 4 years, over a series running from 2020 to 2024.

People moving in and out

Net migration
−1.0%
of residents, in a year
Arrivals from another state
41%
of people moving in
Income of arrivals
$89,939
average per tax return
Income of those who left
$85,699
average per tax return

Where newcomers came from

  1. Durham County, NC 1,966 people · 22% of arrivals
  2. Wake County, NC 903 people · 10.0% of arrivals
  3. Alamance County, NC 742 people · 8.2% of arrivals
  4. Chatham County, NC 287 people · 3.2% of arrivals
  5. Guilford County, NC 176 people · 1.9% of arrivals

Where people who left went

  1. Durham County, NC 2,046 people · 20% of departures
  2. Alamance County, NC 1,152 people · 11% of departures
  3. Wake County, NC 1,118 people · 11% of departures
  4. Chatham County, NC 577 people · 5.7% of departures
  5. Mecklenburg County, NC 228 people · 2.3% of departures

Based on the address on federal tax returns, compared with the same filers a year earlier. It counts people who file, and sees a move only when the address on a return changes. Domestic moves only: people arriving from abroad are left out. This is the figure for Orange County, NC. IRS Statistics of Income, filing years 2022–2023.

Housing units permitted per year

202020212022202320242025739151
Annual totals from the Census Building Permits Survey. Permitting in 2025 was higher than 2020 (+61%).

Weather & climate

7 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 90°F and January a low of 32°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 43.6 inches.

20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station CHAPEL HILL WILLIAMS AP, 1.3 miles from this location.

Precipitation

JFMAMJJASOND4.4"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation1991-2020 Normals43.6"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low1991-2020 Normals32°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high1991-2020 Normals90°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months1991-2020 Normals71991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing1991-2020 Normals38°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. How to read climate and air quality.

Physical risk

60 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, tornado and hurricane, with inland flooding alone responsible for 67% of it. Tornado is independently rated low or minimal nationally, so this describes how the loss is composed, not how large that hazard is.

Inland floodingElevated
LightningModerate
HurricaneModerate
Cold waveModerate

Low or minimal exposure: winter weather, heat wave, tornado, hail, ice storm, strong wind, earthquake, drought, landslide, wildfire, coastal flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity, avalanche.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. City values are the population-weighted mean of the counties the city overlaps, using AreaProfile place-to-county land-area weights. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

Violent crime
86
per 100,000 residents · 2025 calendar year
Property crime
1,779
per 100,000 residents · 2025 calendar year

Below these are deaths rather than offenses, published for the county. The two measure different things and are not comparable with each other.

Chapel Hill's police department reported 86 violent offenses per 100,000 residents, lower than most places with a department reporting. Property crime runs at 1,779.

Orange County has a modeled homicide rate of about 3.9 per 100,000 residents a year, because the CDC suppresses counts this small, near the middle of counties measured. The CDC does not publish this below county level.

Firearm deaths of all intents run at 9.3 per 100,000 — more than the homicide rate, since the figure counts suicides and accidents as well as homicides.

Drug overdose deaths run at 12.6 per 100,000 residents in Orange County.

Homicide
3.9
per 100,000 residents · modeled, not measured
Firearm deaths, all intents
9.3
per 100,000 residents
Drug overdose
12.6
per 100,000 residents
Suicide
12.0
per 100,000 residents

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides, so the firearm figure and the homicide figure above it count some of the same deaths twice over. They overlap and should not be added together.

Offenses are reported to the FBI by Chapel Hill’s own police department and shown only where it reported every month of the year; a partial year is withheld rather than scaled up. Reported crime is what police recorded, which is not the same as what happened. Death rates are crude rates — deaths divided by population, not adjusted for age — except where a count was too small for the CDC to publish and it modeled the rate, which the card marks. They come from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC by county and not below it. So they describe the county around Chapel Hill (Orange County) rather than Chapel Hill itself. Neither is part of the Area Score. How to read crime rates and death rates.

What this profile does not cover

Each of these is absent for a reason, not by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them; the weighting is on the methodology page.

Air quality
The EPA publishes an air-quality index only where a monitor sits. There is none in this county, and a modeled value would be a different kind of number from the measured ones everywhere else on this page.
Taxes
Income and sales taxes are not published: no source covers them nationally with a method open enough to check. Property taxes are shown in the housing section but are not part of the score. The cost-of-living index above is a price level for all consumption, not a household budget, and it excludes taxes. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Anything about a specific address
Every figure describes an area, not a street or a house.

Access

3 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest Raleigh-Durham Intl at 15 miles.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Broadband access ±0.6%2024 ACS 5-Year93.3%Top 33%of 31,5882024 ACS 5-Year
Distance to major airportNASR current cycle15 miTop 42%of 4,226NASR current cycle
Major airports within 100 milesNASR current cycle3Bottom 20%of 4,226NASR current cycle
No internet access ±0.9%2024 ACS 5-Year2.6%Top 22%of 31,5882024 ACS 5-Year
AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Raleigh-Durham IntlRDU15 mi10,000 ft
Piedmont Triad IntlGSO52 mi10,001 ft
Kinston Rgnl Jetport At Stallings FldISO90 mi11,498 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
62
Your Score
—

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Other cities in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Same metropolitan area, measured the same way
CityCountyPopulationArea ScoreCompare
DurhamDurham County291,46763Durham vs Chapel Hill
CarrboroOrange County21,20464Carrboro vs Chapel Hill
MebaneOrange County19,53860Mebane vs Chapel Hill

Every city here is measured on the same scale from the same source releases, so the comparison is like for like. A higher Area Score reflects AreaProfile’s standardized weighting rather than a judgment about which is the better place to live.

Compare

Put Chapel Hill side by side with a similar place.

Chapel Hill vs CarrboroChapel Hill vs Wilsonville

Moving to Chapel Hill from somewhere else?

You get the difference in prices, rent and weather, and the income that would keep pace.

Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource period
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle
SafetyFederal Bureau of Investigation, Crime Data Explorer
Summarized offense counts by law enforcement agency
2025 calendar year
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)
Demographics, IncomeInternal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division
U.S. Population Migration Data (county to county)
filing years 2022–2023
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 Normals
HousingU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Regional price parities and county personal income
2023
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWS
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
July 2026
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimate
Access, Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-Year
SafetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
March 2025 to February 2026; May 2025 to April 2026
SchoolsU.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Common Core of Data and EDFacts assessments
2018-19 school year; 2024-25 school year
HousingU.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research
Fair Market Rents
FY2026
HousingU.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency
House Price Index (traditional, all-transactions)
2026 Q2
Current conditionsNOAA National Weather Service
National Weather Service current conditions
Live observation, read when the page opens

Profile recalculated October 8, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology, or every source with how often each updates.

ZIP codes in Chapel Hill

3 ZIP areas

Every ZIP area in Chapel Hill with census figures of its own, largest first. The ones linked below diverge enough from the city as a whole to carry a full profile; the rest track Chapel Hill closely, so their figures are here rather than on a page that would repeat this one. An Area Score is calculated for published profiles only, which is why it is blank on those rows.

ZIPPopulationMedian household incomeMedian home valueArea Score
2751647,358$106,353$567,20062
2751432,951$92,875$663,900—
2751729,564$128,683$608,10065