AreaProfile

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Metro Area Profile

601,724 residents. Jobs, income, development, climate and physical risk across the Durham-Chapel Hill, NC metropolitan area.

74
Area Score
Top 21% of 99 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
OpportunityTop 37% of 99 published metros67
GrowthTop 4% of 99 published metros82
Housing affordability69th of 99 published metros73
ClimateTop 16% of 99 published metros78
Physical resilienceTop 39% of 99 published metros65
Access61st of 99 published metros91
Economic stabilityTop 49% of 99 published metros72
The quick read

Development activity is both elevated and accelerating — 8,526 housing units permitted over the past twelve months, up 72% on the prior year.

A major airport is 19 miles away, giving the area unusually direct access to the national air network.

Its Area Score of 74 places Durham-Chapel Hill in the top 21% of published metro profiles.

At a glance

Population
601,724
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$83,500
Top 13% nationally
Density
342/sq mi
1758.9 sq mi of land
Median age
37.9
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Metro area
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Nearest major airport
RDU
19 mi · Raleigh-Durham Intl
Median home value
$396,100
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 3.2% is lower than 93% of the 99 measured US metros.

Employment fell 1.8% over the past year, to 310,990 employed residents.

53% of adults hold a four-year degree, higher than 99% of measured US metros.

Household income is higher than at least 87% of measured US metros.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$1,552$83,500Top 13%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$821$50,851Top 6%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate12.1%Bottom 35%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute25.9 minTop 31%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher53.4%Top 1%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment310,990Bottom 26%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)-1.5%Bottom 19%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-1.8%Bottom 18%June 2026
Labor force321,391Bottom 26%June 2026
Labor force participation64.5%Top 22%2024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wage$79,700Top 7%2025 OEWS
Median annual wage$60,720Top 7%2025 OEWS
Metro employment344,020Bottom 34%2025 OEWS
Unemployment change (year over year)-0.4%Bottom 23%June 2026
Unemployment rate3.2%Bottom 7%June 2026
Unemployment rate
2021/062022/032022/122023/092024/062025/032026/012026/064.72.8
Monthly unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, most recent value 3.2% in June 2026.
Largest occupations — Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
Software Developers9,790$135,620
Retail Salespersons5,850$31,790
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants5,820$46,860
Fast Food and Counter Workers5,350$29,170
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand5,250$37,750
Cashiers4,840$29,920

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $1,466 takes 21% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 4.7 times median household income here, above the historic benchmark of about three times income.

Rent as a share of income
21.1%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
4.7×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$1,466
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$396,100
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income4.74Top 15%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate62.2%Bottom 14%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±168270,378Top 10%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$20$1,466Top 10%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$5,100$396,100Top 12%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income21.1%Top 19%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate8.2%Bottom 26%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
82/ 100
Top 4% of 99 published city profiles
Permitting is increasing, measured from 2024 to 2025.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has grown 7% since 2020, reaching 620,522 in 2024.

Population is still rising, but more slowly than in the preceding year.

At 14.3 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is above the median for measured US metros.

Units permitted
8,526
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
14.3
Top 1% nationally
Year over year
+72%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
51.7%
units in 5+ unit buildings
Population, annual estimates
20202021202220232024621k582k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population.

Weather & climate

7 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 88°F and January a low of 30°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 46.7 inches.

20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station DURHAM 11 W, 1.7 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND5.6"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation46.7"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low30°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high88°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months71991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing38°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today.

Physical risk

65 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, hurricane and cold wave.

Inland floodingModerate
HurricaneElevated
LightningModerate
Cold waveModerate

Low or minimal exposure: heat wave, tornado, hail, winter weather, ice storm, strong wind, earthquake, drought, landslide, wildfire.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. This value is the population-weighted mean of all component counties; expected annual loss is their sum. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

Taxes

AreaProfile does not yet publish tax comparisons. No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, methodology transparency and update cadence, and the product rule is to omit a dimension rather than estimate it. The Area Score is calculated without a tax component and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Nothing on AreaProfile is individualized tax advice.

Access

3 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 19 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Raleigh-Durham IntlRDU19 mi10,000 ft
Piedmont Triad IntlGSO48 mi10,001 ft
Kinston Rgnl Jetport At Stallings FldISO95 mi11,498 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
74
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWSAnnual (spring release)
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)

Profile recalculated August 29, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.

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