Lincolnia, Virginia

Area Profile

20,320 residents. Public schools, jobs, income, housing cost, climate and natural-hazard risk for Lincolnia, in Fairfax County.

Area Score unavailable

Missing required signal: growth. AreaProfile withholds a score rather than inferring the missing dimensions.

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
OpportunityTop 46% of 3,904 published cities58
Schools2077th of 2,668 published cities30
Housing affordability2886th of 4,223 published cities69
ClimateTop 42% of 4,223 published cities72
Physical resilienceTop 27% of 4,182 published cities78
AccessTop 48% of 4,226 published cities93
Economic stabilityTop 26% of 4,226 published cities71
The quick read

Unemployment is 3.6% and median household income $121,639, putting employment conditions in the middle range of published city profiles.

In the public schools here, 38% of students met the state standard in mathematics, with 14.1 students for every teacher.

A major airport is 19 miles away, giving the area unusually direct access to the national air network.

At a glance

Population
20,320
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$121,639
Top 10% nationally
Density
4,287/sq mi
4.7 sq mi of land
Median age
38.1
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Fairfax County
Virginia
Metro area
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Nearest major airport
IAD
19 mi · Washington Dulles Intl
Median home value
$647,400
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 3.6% is lower than 80% of the 3,904 measured US cities.

Employment fell 3.0% over the past year, to 611,867 employed residents.

55% of adults hold a four-year degree, higher than 91% of measured US cities.

Household income is higher than at least 90% of measured US cities.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$10,016$121,639Top 10%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$4,005$59,420Top 10%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate7.7%Bottom 36%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute30.4 minTop 32%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher55.5%Top 9%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment611,867Top 10%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)-4.1%Bottom 6%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-3.0%Bottom 8%June 2026
Labor force634,755Top 10%June 2026
Labor force participation74.7%Top 9%2024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wage$91,930Top 6%2025 OEWS
Median annual wage$71,060Top 8%2025 OEWS
Unemployment change (year over year)0.4%Top 36%June 2026
Unemployment rate3.6%Bottom 20%June 2026
Median household income, successive ACS releases
2021202220232024124k108k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $121,639 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.
Largest occupations — Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
General and Operations Managers112,530$156,460
Business Operations Specialists, All Other76,600$104,770
Software Developers69,060$154,930
Retail Salespersons66,920$36,610
Management Analysts62,360$126,830
Fast Food and Counter Workers60,560$34,600

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes city-level labor data only for places of 25,000 or more. This is the figure for Fairfax County, VA, which contains this city.

38% of students met the state standard in mathematics and 53% in reading, across the schools here that reported results.

There are 14.1 students for every full-time teacher, fewer than in most measured places.

Public schools
7
2024-25 school year
Students per teacher
14.1
across all schools here
Math proficiency
37.9%
Bottom 18% in Virginia
Reading proficiency
53.0%
Bottom 21% in Virginia
SchoolDistrictStudentsPer teacherMathReading
Thomas Jefferson High for Science and TechnologyFairfax County Public Schools2,10816.9
Glasgow MiddleFairfax County Public Schools1,70214.049%61%
Parklawn ElementaryFairfax County Public Schools96314.229%42%
Holmes MiddleFairfax County Public Schools88111.042%62%
Weyanoke ElementaryFairfax County Public Schools59013.712%30%
Bren Mar Park ElementaryFairfax County Public Schools49012.642%59%
ALC at MontroseFairfax County Public Schools0

63.4% of students here are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. That describes the circumstances families arrive with rather than how the schools perform, which is why AreaProfile shows it and does not score it.

Public schools only, from the NCES Common Core of Data. Schools are placed by ZIP code, so this is which schools are in this place rather than which one a particular address is zoned for — district boundaries do not follow municipal ones, and enrollment zones change. Fully virtual schools are excluded: they enroll students from across the state while reporting one administrative address, and counting them here would describe a school population this place does not have. The assessment covers grades 3 through 8, so a high school shows no proficiency figure — a dash in those columns means the test was not given at that school, not that it performed badly. Proficiency is measured against Virginia’s own standard, so it compares cleanly within the state and only broadly against other states; AreaProfile therefore ranks it within state. The directory is current, while the proficiency figures are from the last school year with national coverage before the pandemic interrupted testing.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $2,141 takes 21% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 5.3 times median household income here, well above the historic benchmark, at a level conventionally described as seriously unaffordable.

Rent as a share of income
21.1%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
5.3×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$2,141
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$647,400
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income5.32Top 13%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate56.9%Bottom 16%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±3368,353Top 7%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$123$2,141Top 7%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$23,105$647,400Top 7%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income21.1%Top 34%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate8.5%Bottom 44%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →

No building-permit activity is published for this location by the Census Building Permits Survey.

Weather & climate

6 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 90°F and January a low of 30°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 41.8 inches, including 13.7 inches of snow.

Air quality measures a median index of 42, in the Good band, and about 3 days a year pass 100, the threshold at which the air is unhealthy for sensitive groups.

20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station WASHINGTON REAGAN AP, 6.8 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND4.3"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
90th percentile air quality index61.02024 calendar year
Annual precipitation41.8"1991-2020 Normals
Annual snowfall13.7"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low30°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high90°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months61991-2020 Normals
Days above AQI 10032024 calendar year
Median air quality index42.02024 calendar year
Seasonal temperature swing44°F1991-2020 Normals
Air quality
Median air quality index
42
Good on a typical day
Worst tenth of days
61
90th percentile index
Days above 100
3
unhealthy for sensitive groups

A comfortable median and a bad tail are different problems. Wildfire smoke and summer ozone show up in the worst tenth of days, not in the middle of the year.

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today. Air quality is measured rather than modelled, by EPA monitors, and published by county only where a monitor sits — roughly half the counties AreaProfile publishes have one, and the rest show nothing rather than an estimate. Air masses are regional, so a county reading describes the air over a place reasonably well, but it is still the county reading.

Physical risk

78 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are hurricane, cold wave and drought.

HurricaneModerate
Cold waveModerate
LandslideModerate
DroughtModerate

Low or minimal exposure: heat wave, winter weather, lightning, inland flooding, strong wind, earthquake, hail, ice storm, coastal flooding, tornado, wildfire.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. City values are the population-weighted mean of the counties the city overlaps, using AreaProfile place-to-county land-area weights. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

These are deaths, not offences. AreaProfile does not publish reported crime, and this is not a substitute for it — it says nothing about burglary, theft or assault.

Fairfax County records 1.9 homicide deaths per 100,000 residents a year, lower than most counties measured. The CDC does not publish this below county level.

Firearm deaths of all intents run at 4.8 per 100,000 — more than the homicide rate, because nationally most firearm deaths are suicides.

Drug overdose deaths run at 6.9 per 100,000 residents in Fairfax County.

Homicide
1.9
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Firearm deaths, all intents
4.8
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Drug overdose
6.9
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Suicide
7.7
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides. The two columns overlap and should not be added.

Age-adjusted rates from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC for Fairfax County as a whole — these rates are not published below county level. A county can hold both a dense city centre and a suburb whose experience of it is nothing alike, so this describes the county around Lincolnia rather than Lincolnia itself. That is why AreaProfile shows these figures and does not put them in the Area Score. Where fewer than ten deaths were recorded the count is suppressed at source, and a rate built on single figures moves sharply between releases. What this measure has that reported crime does not: a death certificate is filed whether or not the local police agency submitted a return that year, so the figures stay comparable between places and over time.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

4 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 19 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Washington Dulles IntlIAD19 mi11,500 ft
Baltimore/Washington Intl Thurgood MarshallBWI36 mi10,503 ft
Richmond IntlRIC91 mi9,003 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Other cities in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Same metropolitan area, measured the same way
CityCountyPopulationArea ScoreCompare
WashingtonDistrict of Columbia681,29465vs Lincolnia
ArlingtonArlington County236,254vs Lincolnia
AlexandriaAlexandria city156,97661vs Lincolnia
GermantownMontgomery County90,719vs Lincolnia
FrederickFrederick County83,39570vs Lincolnia
WaldorfCharles County82,943vs Lincolnia
Silver SpringMontgomery County81,462vs Lincolnia
CentrevilleFairfax County71,706vs Lincolnia
Dale CityPrince William County71,016vs Lincolnia
GaithersburgMontgomery County69,82568vs Lincolnia
BethesdaMontgomery County69,397vs Lincolnia
RockvilleMontgomery County67,67171vs Lincolnia

Every city here is measured on the same scale from the same source releases, so the comparison is like for like. A higher Area Score reflects AreaProfile’s standardized weighting rather than a judgment about which is the better place to live.

Compare

Put Lincolnia side by side with a similar place.

Lincolnia vs TysonsLincolnia vs LortonLincolnia vs AnnandaleLincolnia vs Fairfax

Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWSAnnual (spring release)
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
safetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
April, 2025 to March, 2026Quarterly, with a rolling twelve-month window alongside complete calendar years
schoolsU.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Common Core of Data and EDFacts assessments
2019-20 school year; 2024-25 school yearDirectory annually; assessment results as EDFacts releases them
ClimateU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Quality System
Daily Air Quality Index by county
2024 calendar yearAnnually, once a calendar year is complete

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.

ZIP codes in Lincolnia

1 published ZIP profiles
ZIPPopulationMedian household incomeArea Score
2231226,768$109,272