Tonawanda, New York

Area Profile

15,030 residents. Public schools, jobs, income, housing cost, climate and natural-hazard risk for Tonawanda, in Erie County.

66out of 100
Area Score
Top 30% of 2,944 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
Opportunity2614th of 3,904 published cities48
Growth1878th of 2,973 published cities43
Housing affordabilityTop 8% of 4,223 published cities100
Climate3504th of 4,223 published cities61
Physical resilienceTop 25% of 4,182 published cities80
AccessTop 29% of 4,226 published cities97
Economic stability2724th of 4,226 published cities53
The quick read

Housing is more affordable relative to local incomes than in most published city profiles: rent takes 17% of median household income and the median home is 3.0 times it.

Natural-hazard exposure is lower than in most comparable published city profiles, placing Tonawanda in the top 25% for physical resilience.

A major airport is 9 miles away, giving the area unusually direct access to the national air network.

At a glance

Population
15,030
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$58,326
Bottom 36% nationally
Density
3,952/sq mi
3.8 sq mi of land
Median age
43.5
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Erie County
New York
Metro area
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Nearest major airport
BUF
9 mi · Buffalo Niagara Intl
Median home value
$173,600
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 4.1% is lower than 59% of the 3,904 measured US cities.

Employment fell 0.8% over the past year, to 447,300 employed residents.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$8,034$58,326Bottom 36%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$3,011$36,905Top 40%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate13.8%Top 40%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute24.2 minBottom 37%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher28.5%Top 33%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment447,300Top 16%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)-1.7%Bottom 23%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-0.8%Bottom 48%June 2026
Labor force466,388Top 16%June 2026
Labor force participation61.2%Top 48%2024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wage$66,480Bottom 39%2025 OEWS
Median annual wage$50,790Bottom 46%2025 OEWS
Unemployment change (year over year)0.5%Top 29%June 2026
Unemployment rate4.1%Bottom 41%June 2026
Median household income, successive ACS releases
202120222023202462k56k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $58,326 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.
Largest occupations — Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
Home Health and Personal Care Aides18,090$36,570
Retail Salespersons15,160$34,910
Fast Food and Counter Workers14,170$34,560
Registered Nurses13,830$99,060
General and Operations Managers11,100$103,280
Cashiers10,590$33,850

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes city-level labor data only for places of 25,000 or more. This is the figure for Erie County, NY, which contains this city.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $835 takes 17% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 3.0 times median household income here, close to the historic benchmark for an affordable market.

Rent as a share of income
17.2%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
3.0×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$835
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$173,600
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income2.98Top 49%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate73.2%Bottom 44%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±3827,412Top 8%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$176$835Bottom 33%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$6,798$173,600Bottom 46%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income17.2%Bottom 40%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate4.4%Bottom 26%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
43/ 100
Ranks 1878 of 2,973 published city profiles
Permitting is decreasing — 2 consecutive years, measured from 2020 to 2025.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has fallen 1% since 2020, reaching 14,984 in 2024.

96% of recently permitted units are in buildings of five or more homes, so new supply is concentrated in apartments and condominiums rather than detached houses.

At 1.8 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is below the median for measured US cities.

Units permitted
27
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
1.8
Bottom 43% nationally
Year over year
+59%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
96.3%
units in 5+ unit buildings
Population, annual estimates
2020202120222023202415k15k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population.
Housing units permitted per year
202020212022202320242025311.0
Annual totals from the Census Building Permits Survey. Permitting in 2025 was lower than 2020 (−44%).

Weather & climate

5 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 81°F and January a low of 17°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 33.0 inches.

Air quality measures a median index of 43, in the Good band, and one day a year passes 100, the threshold at which the air is unhealthy for sensitive groups.

10°30°50°70°90°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station NIAGARA FALLS INTL AP, 7.3 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND3.4"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
90th percentile air quality index62.02024 calendar year
Annual precipitation33.0"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low17°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high81°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months51991-2020 Normals
Days above AQI 10012024 calendar year
Median air quality index43.02024 calendar year
Seasonal temperature swing47°F1991-2020 Normals
Air quality
Median air quality index
43
Good on a typical day
Worst tenth of days
62
90th percentile index
Days above 100
1
unhealthy for sensitive groups

A comfortable median and a bad tail are different problems. Wildfire smoke and summer ozone show up in the worst tenth of days, not in the middle of the year.

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today. Air quality is measured rather than modelled, by EPA monitors, and published by county only where a monitor sits — roughly half the counties AreaProfile publishes have one, and the rest show nothing rather than an estimate. Air masses are regional, so a county reading describes the air over a place reasonably well, but it is still the county reading.

Physical risk

80 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding and heat wave.

Inland floodingElevated
Heat waveModerate

Low or minimal exposure: cold wave, winter weather, tornado, ice storm, lightning, earthquake, strong wind, hurricane, wildfire, landslide, coastal flooding, hail, drought, avalanche.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. City values are the population-weighted mean of the counties the city overlaps, using AreaProfile place-to-county land-area weights. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

These are deaths, not offences. AreaProfile does not publish reported crime, and this is not a substitute for it — it says nothing about burglary, theft or assault.

Erie County records 3.4 homicide deaths per 100,000 residents a year, near the middle of counties measured. The CDC does not publish this below county level.

Firearm deaths of all intents run at 6.1 per 100,000 — more than the homicide rate, because nationally most firearm deaths are suicides.

Drug overdose deaths run at 21.0 per 100,000 residents in Erie County.

Homicide
3.4
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Firearm deaths, all intents
6.1
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Drug overdose
21.0
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Suicide
12.9
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides. The two columns overlap and should not be added.

Age-adjusted rates from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC for Erie County as a whole — these rates are not published below county level. A county can hold both a dense city centre and a suburb whose experience of it is nothing alike, so this describes the county around Tonawanda rather than Tonawanda itself. That is why AreaProfile shows these figures and does not put them in the Area Score. Where fewer than ten deaths were recorded the count is suppressed at source, and a rate built on single figures moves sharply between releases. What this measure has that reported crime does not: a death certificate is filed whether or not the local police agency submitted a return that year, so the figures stay comparable between places and over time.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

3 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 9 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Buffalo Niagara IntlBUF9 mi8,829 ft
Frederick Douglass/Greater Rochester IntlROC62 mi8,001 ft
Erie Intl/Tom Ridge FldERI92 mi8,420 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

Customize your score

What matters to you?

Choose what you weight most heavily. Nothing is saved to an account — your preferences stay in this browser, and the Area Score never changes.

Area Score
66
Your Score

Select one or more priorities to see how this location scores against them.

Other cities in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Same metropolitan area, measured the same way
CityCountyPopulationArea ScoreCompare
BuffaloErie County276,85454vs Tonawanda
CheektowagaErie County76,056vs Tonawanda
Tonawanda TownErie County56,806vs Tonawanda
Niagara FallsNiagara County47,98751vs Tonawanda
West SenecaErie County45,303vs Tonawanda
North TonawandaNiagara County30,19860vs Tonawanda
LockportNiagara County20,61059vs Tonawanda
LackawannaErie County19,75354vs Tonawanda
KenmoreErie County15,04465vs Tonawanda
DepewErie County15,00059vs Tonawanda
EggertsvilleErie County14,894vs Tonawanda
LancasterErie County10,11364vs Tonawanda

Every city here is measured on the same scale from the same source releases, so the comparison is like for like. A higher Area Score reflects AreaProfile’s standardized weighting rather than a judgment about which is the better place to live.

Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWSAnnual (spring release)
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
safetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
April, 2025 to March, 2026Quarterly, with a rolling twelve-month window alongside complete calendar years
ClimateU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Quality System
Daily Air Quality Index by county
2024 calendar yearAnnually, once a calendar year is complete

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.