Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL

Metro Area Profile

790,694 residents. Jobs, income, development, climate and physical risk across the Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL metropolitan area.

55out of 100
Area Score
Bottom 19% of 379 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
Opportunity282nd of 379 published metros44
GrowthTop 18% of 821 published metros70
Housing affordability700th of 822 published metros73
ClimateTop 6% of 822 published metros79
Physical resilience755th of 822 published metros19
AccessTop 18% of 822 published metros93
Economic stability587th of 822 published metros36
The quick read

Employment conditions sit below most comparable published metro profiles: unemployment is 5.7% and the Opportunity signal places Lakeland-Winter Haven in the bottom 26%.

Residential permitting has slowed: 6,845 units authorized over the past twelve months, 29% below the prior year.

Physical-risk exposure is above the national median, driven mainly by hurricane, strong wind and tornado.

At a glance

Population
790,694
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$65,978
Bottom 47% nationally
Density
440/sq mi
1798.2 sq mi of land
Median age
39.5
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Metro area
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Nearest major airport
LAL
20 mi · Lakeland Linder Intl
Median home value
$266,500
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 5.7% is lower than 10% of the 379 measured US metros.

Employment grew 0.4% over the past year, to 344,014 employed residents.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$1,143$65,978Bottom 47%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$614$33,249Bottom 35%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate14.5%Top 42%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute32.3 minTop 4%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher23.5%Bottom 44%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment344,014Top 21%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)0.9%Top 41%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)0.4%Top 21%June 2026
Labor force364,829Top 21%June 2026
Labor force participation58.0%Bottom 35%2024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wage$57,070Bottom 28%2025 OEWS
Median annual wage$46,140Bottom 31%2025 OEWS
Metro employment265,280Top 25%2025 OEWS
Unemployment change (year over year)0.8%Top 11%June 2026
Unemployment rate5.7%Top 10%June 2026
Unemployment rate
2021/062022/032022/122023/092024/062025/032025/102026/066.23.0
Monthly unemployment rate from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, most recent value 5.7% in June 2026. A break in the line is a month the Bureau of Labor Statistics did not publish for this area — it is left empty rather than estimated.
Largest occupations — Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
Stockers and Order Fillers9,400$39,690
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand8,440$42,800
Retail Salespersons8,220$31,820
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers7,820$57,090
Fast Food and Counter Workers7,380$28,050
Registered Nurses6,140$84,030

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $1,363 takes 25% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 4.0 times median household income here, above the historic benchmark of about three times income.

Rent as a share of income
24.8%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
4.0×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$1,363
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$266,500
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income4.04Top 27%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate70.5%Top 46%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±196340,748Top 8%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$28$1,363Top 14%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$3,458$266,500Top 33%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income24.8%Top 4%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate15.1%Top 27%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
70/ 100
Top 18% of 821 published city profiles
Permitting is decreasing, measured from 2024 to 2025.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has grown 17% since 2020, reaching 852,878 in 2024.

Population is still rising, but more slowly than in the preceding year.

New construction is predominantly single-family: only 4% of permitted units are in buildings of five or more homes.

At 8.7 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is above the median for measured US metros.

Units permitted
6,845
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
8.7
Top 8% nationally
Year over year
−29%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
4.1%
units in 5+ unit buildings
Population, annual estimates
20202021202220232024853k730k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population.

Weather & climate

8 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 93°F and January a low of 52°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 46.1 inches.

40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station WINTER HAVEN GILBERT AP, 8.4 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND7.4"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation46.1"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low52°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high93°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months81991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing22°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today.

Physical risk

19 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are hurricane, strong wind and tornado.

Strong windHigh
HurricaneElevated
WildfireModerate
TornadoModerate
Cold waveModerate
LandslideModerate

Low or minimal exposure: lightning, inland flooding, heat wave, hail, drought, earthquake.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. This value is the population-weighted mean of all component counties; expected annual loss is their sum. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

8 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 20 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Lakeland Linder IntlLAL20 mi8,500 ft
Orlando IntlMCO40 mi10,000 ft
Tampa IntlTPA51 mi11,002 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWSAnnual (spring release)
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.