85388Surprise, Arizona

Area Profile

Income, jobs, climate, physical risk and development data for ZIP code 85388.

61out of 100
Area Score
Top 45% of 5,298 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
Opportunity4069th of 6,210 published ZIP areas47
GrowthTop 12% of 5,428 published ZIP areas73
Housing affordability3762nd of 6,685 published ZIP areas76
Climate6104th of 6,789 published ZIP areas58
Physical resilience4188th of 6,709 published ZIP areas47
AccessTop 25% of 6,791 published ZIP areas97
Economic stabilityTop 9% of 6,742 published ZIP areas81
The quick read

Unemployment is 5.2% and median household income $112,164, putting employment conditions in the middle range of published ZIP profiles.

Residential permitting has slowed: 2,428 units authorized over the past twelve months, 34% below the prior year.

A major airport is 13 miles away, giving the area unusually direct access to the national air network.

At a glance

Population
35,369
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$112,164
Top 12% nationally
Density
2,754/sq mi
12.8 sq mi of land
Median age
36.9
2024 ACS 5-Year
City
Surprise
Arizona
Metro area
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Nearest major airport
GYR
13 mi · Phoenix Goodyear
Median home value
$459,900
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 5.2% is lower than 22% of the 6,544 measured US ZIP areas.

Employment fell 3.9% over the past year, to 74,180 employed residents.

Household income is higher than at least 88% of measured US ZIP areas.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$8,083$112,164Top 12%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$4,279$43,790Top 30%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate4.4%Bottom 16%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute33.4 minTop 23%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher31.9%Top 31%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment74,180Top 41%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)2.5%Top 20%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-3.9%Bottom 4%June 2026
Labor force78,264Top 41%June 2026
Labor force participation67.7%Top 22%2024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wage$69,630Top 41%2025 OEWS
Median annual wage$51,380Top 44%2025 OEWS
Unemployment change (year over year)1.1%Top 3%June 2026
Unemployment rate5.2%Top 22%June 2026
Median household income, successive ACS releases
2021202220232024112k91k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $112,164 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.
Largest occupations — Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
General and Operations Managers81,520$98,610
Retail Salespersons69,060$35,960
Customer Service Representatives68,930$46,410
Home Health and Personal Care Aides57,940$36,930
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand56,420$44,950
Fast Food and Counter Workers54,900$34,540

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish labor-force data for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Surprise, AZ, the city containing this ZIP code.

There are 23.2 students for every full-time teacher, more than in most measured places.

Public schools
12
2024-25 school year
Students per teacher
23.2
across all schools here
Math proficiency
Reading proficiency
SchoolDistrictStudentsPer teacherMathReading
Shadow Ridge High SchoolDysart Unified District (4243)2,21221.5
Willow Canyon High SchoolDysart Unified District (4243)1,90124.4
Legacy Traditional School - West Surprise · charterLegacy Traditional School - West Surprise (1000560)1,23153.5
Canyon Ridge SchoolDysart Unified District (4243)1,04220.8
Paradise Honors High School · charterParagon Management Inc. (5180)1,02817.4
Sunset Hills ElementaryDysart Unified District (4243)87719.5
Cimarron Springs Middle SchoolDysart Unified District (4243)81021.3
Western Peaks ElementaryDysart Unified District (4243)76318.2
ThrivePoint High School at Surprise · charterThrivePoint High School Inc. (79059)323323.0
West-MEC - Shadow Ridge High SchoolWest-MEC - Western Maricopa Education Center (80923)2
West-MEC - Willow Canyon High SchoolWest-MEC - Western Maricopa Education Center (80923)1
West-MEC Paradise HonorsWest-MEC - Western Maricopa Education Center (80923)0

Public schools only, from the NCES Common Core of Data. Schools are placed by ZIP code, so this is which schools are in this place rather than which one a particular address is zoned for — district boundaries do not follow municipal ones, and enrollment zones change. Fully virtual schools are excluded: they enroll students from across the state while reporting one administrative address, and counting them here would describe a school population this place does not have. The assessment covers grades 3 through 8, so a high school shows no proficiency figure — a dash in those columns means the test was not given at that school, not that it performed badly. Proficiency is measured against Arizona’s own standard, so it compares cleanly within the state and only broadly against other states; AreaProfile therefore ranks it within state. The directory is current, while the proficiency figures are from the last school year with national coverage before the pandemic interrupted testing.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $2,155 takes 23% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 4.1 times median household income here, above the historic benchmark of about three times income.

Rent as a share of income
23.1%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
4.1×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$2,155
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$459,900
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income4.10Top 27%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate81.9%Top 41%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±55911,315Top 14%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$143$2,155Top 6%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$11,657$459,900Top 15%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income23.1%Top 21%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate3.9%Bottom 17%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
73/ 100
Top 12% of 5,428 published city profiles

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

New construction is predominantly single-family: only 6% of permitted units are in buildings of five or more homes.

At 15.7 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is above the median for measured US ZIP areas.

Units permitted
2,428
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
15.7
Top 4% nationally
Year over year
−34%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
5.6%
units in 5+ unit buildings

The Building Permits Survey is not published for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Surprise, AZ, the city containing this ZIP code.

Weather & climate

6 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 104°F and January a low of 44°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 8.9 inches.

Air quality measures a median index of 77, in the Moderate band, and about 73 days a year pass 100, the threshold at which the air is unhealthy for sensitive groups.

30°50°70°90°110°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station PHOENIX DEER VALLEY MUNI AP, 21.0 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND1.2"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
90th percentile air quality index113.02024 calendar year
Annual precipitation8.9"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low44°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high104°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months61991-2020 Normals
Days above AQI 100732024 calendar year
Median air quality index77.02024 calendar year
Seasonal temperature swing39°F1991-2020 Normals
Air quality
Median air quality index
77
Moderate on a typical day
Worst tenth of days
113
90th percentile index
Days above 100
73
unhealthy for sensitive groups

A comfortable median and a bad tail are different problems. Wildfire smoke and summer ozone show up in the worst tenth of days, not in the middle of the year.

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today. Air quality is measured rather than modelled, by EPA monitors, and published by county only where a monitor sits — roughly half the counties AreaProfile publishes have one, and the rest show nothing rather than an estimate. Air masses are regional, so a county reading describes the air over a place reasonably well, but it is still the county reading.

Physical risk

47 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, heat wave and wildfire.

Heat waveModerate
Inland floodingElevated
WildfireModerate
HailModerate
LandslideModerate
AvalancheModerate

Low or minimal exposure: strong wind, drought, earthquake, lightning, tornado, winter weather, hurricane.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. ZIP values are the land-area-weighted mean of the counties the ZIP Code Tabulation Area intersects. Expected annual loss is not allocated below county level. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

These are deaths, not offences. AreaProfile does not publish reported crime, and this is not a substitute for it — it says nothing about burglary, theft or assault.

Maricopa County records 5.3 homicide deaths per 100,000 residents a year, near the middle of counties measured. The CDC does not publish this below county level.

Firearm deaths of all intents run at 15.9 per 100,000 — more than the homicide rate, because nationally most firearm deaths are suicides.

Drug overdose deaths run at 38.3 per 100,000 residents in Maricopa County.

Homicide
5.3
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Firearm deaths, all intents
15.9
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Drug overdose
38.3
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Suicide
16.8
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides. The two columns overlap and should not be added.

Age-adjusted rates from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC for Maricopa County as a whole — these rates are not published below county level. A county can hold both a dense city centre and a suburb whose experience of it is nothing alike, so this describes the county around 85388 rather than 85388 itself. That is why AreaProfile shows these figures and does not put them in the Area Score. Where fewer than ten deaths were recorded the count is suppressed at source, and a rate built on single figures moves sharply between releases. What this measure has that reported crime does not: a death certificate is filed whether or not the local police agency submitted a return that year, so the figures stay comparable between places and over time.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

5 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 13 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Phoenix GoodyearGYR13 mi8,500 ft
Phoenix Deer ValleyDVT21 mi8,196 ft
Phoenix Sky Harbor IntlPHX27 mi11,489 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
61
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWSAnnual (spring release)
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
safetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
April, 2025 to March, 2026Quarterly, with a rolling twelve-month window alongside complete calendar years
schoolsU.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Common Core of Data and EDFacts assessments
2024-25 school yearDirectory annually; assessment results as EDFacts releases them
ClimateU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Quality System
Daily Air Quality Index by county
2024 calendar yearAnnually, once a calendar year is complete

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.

85388 vs Surprise

How this ZIP area compares with Surprise as a whole. Both figures come from the same ACS release, so the comparison is like for like.

85388
Surprise
Median household income
$112,164
vs
$96,711
Per capita income
$43,790
vs
$41,888
Population density
2,754/sq mi
vs
1,402/sq mi
Median home value
$459,900
vs
$435,100
Median gross rent
$2,155
vs
$2,033
Homeownership rate
81.9%
vs
79.1%
Bachelor's degree or higher
31.9%
vs
30.5%
Poverty rate
4.4%
vs
8.6%
Median age
36.9
vs
41.4

Some demographic statistics use Census ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, which approximate but do not exactly match USPS ZIP delivery geography. See the methodology for how AreaProfile maps between them.