Payson, Arizona

Area Profile

16,622 residents. Public schools, jobs, income, housing cost, climate and natural-hazard risk for Payson, in Gila County.

47out of 100
Area Score
Bottom 9% of 2,944 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
Opportunity2837th of 3,904 published cities46
GrowthTop 36% of 2,973 published cities58
Housing affordability3339th of 4,223 published cities60
Climate2690th of 4,223 published cities66
Physical resilience3789th of 4,182 published cities14
Access3674th of 4,226 published cities71
Economic stability3918th of 4,226 published cities30
The quick read

Employment conditions sit below most comparable published city profiles: unemployment is 5.4% and the Opportunity signal places Payson in the bottom 27%.

56 housing units were authorized over the past twelve months, within 11% of the prior year — steady rather than turning.

Physical-risk exposure is above the national median, driven mainly by inland flooding, wildfire and avalanche.

At a glance

Population
16,622
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$67,710
Top 49% nationally
Density
859/sq mi
19.3 sq mi of land
Median age
60.9
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Gila County
Arizona
Metro area
Payson, AZ
Nearest major airport
SDL
55 mi · Scottsdale
Median home value
$382,400
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 5.4% is lower than 15% of the 3,904 measured US cities.

Employment fell 1.2% over the past year, to 21,253 employed residents.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$6,943$67,710Top 49%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$4,037$42,466Top 28%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate11.0%Top 50%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute20.3 minBottom 18%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher24.5%Top 41%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment21,253Bottom 27%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)4.8%Top 6%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-1.2%Bottom 40%June 2026
Labor force22,458Bottom 27%June 2026
Labor force participation43.3%Bottom 13%2024 ACS 5-Year
Unemployment change (year over year)1.0%Top 5%June 2026
Unemployment rate5.4%Top 15%June 2026
Median household income, successive ACS releases
202120222023202468k58k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $67,710 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes city-level labor data only for places of 25,000 or more. This is the figure for Gila County, AZ, which contains this city.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $1,345 takes 24% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 5.6 times median household income here, well above the historic benchmark, at a level conventionally described as seriously unaffordable.

Rent as a share of income
23.8%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
5.6×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$1,345
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$382,400
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income5.65Top 11%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate75.7%Top 50%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±44410,249Top 6%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$106$1,345Top 26%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$22,211$382,400Top 19%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income23.8%Top 21%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate19.8%Top 24%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
58/ 100
Top 36% of 2,973 published city profiles
Permitting is decreasing, measured from 2020 to 2025.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has grown 2% since 2020, reaching 16,762 in 2024.

Permitting has turned downward after moving the other way the year before.

New construction is predominantly single-family: only 0% of permitted units are in buildings of five or more homes.

At 3.4 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is above the median for measured US cities.

Units permitted
56
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
3.4
Top 40% nationally
Year over year
−11%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
0.0%
units in 5+ unit buildings
Population, annual estimates
2020202120222023202417k16k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population.
Housing units permitted per year
20202021202220232024202510769
Annual totals from the Census Building Permits Survey. Permitting in 2025 was lower than 2020 (−23%).

Weather & climate

6 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 93°F and January a low of 26°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 19.8 inches, including 18.5 inches of snow.

10°30°50°70°90°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station PAYSON, 1.7 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND2.8"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation19.8"1991-2020 Normals
Annual snowfall18.5"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low26°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high93°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months61991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing36°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today.

Physical risk

14 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, wildfire and avalanche.

WildfireHigh
Inland floodingModerate
AvalancheModerate

Low or minimal exposure: lightning, heat wave, winter weather, landslide, earthquake, strong wind, hail, drought, tornado, volcanic activity, hurricane, cold wave.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. City values are the population-weighted mean of the counties the city overlaps, using AreaProfile place-to-county land-area weights. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

These are deaths, not offences. AreaProfile does not publish reported crime, and this is not a substitute for it — it says nothing about burglary, theft or assault.

Gila County records 6.4 homicide deaths per 100,000 residents a year, higher than most counties measured. The CDC does not publish this below county level.

Firearm deaths of all intents run at 44.4 per 100,000 — more than the homicide rate, because nationally most firearm deaths are suicides.

Drug overdose deaths run at 37.0 per 100,000 residents in Gila County.

Homicide
6.4
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Firearm deaths, all intents
44.4
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Drug overdose
37.0
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths
Suicide
68.5
per 100,000 residents · under 10 deaths

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides. The two columns overlap and should not be added.

Age-adjusted rates from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC for Gila County as a whole — these rates are not published below county level. A county can hold both a dense city centre and a suburb whose experience of it is nothing alike, so this describes the county around Payson rather than Payson itself. That is why AreaProfile shows these figures and does not put them in the Area Score. Where fewer than ten deaths were recorded the count is suppressed at source, and a rate built on single figures moves sharply between releases. What this measure has that reported crime does not: a death certificate is filed whether or not the local police agency submitted a return that year, so the figures stay comparable between places and over time.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

6 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 55 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
ScottsdaleSDL55 mi8,249 ft
Phoenix Deer ValleyDVT58 mi8,196 ft
Flagstaff PulliamFLG65 mi8,800 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
47
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
safetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
April, 2025 to March, 2026Quarterly, with a rolling twelve-month window alongside complete calendar years

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.