22044 — Lake Barcroft, Virginia

Area Profile

Income, jobs, climate, physical risk and development data for ZIP code 22044. Its median household income runs 28% below Lake Barcroft as a whole, which is why this ZIP carries a profile of its own.

60out of 100
Area Score
Top 43% of 3,113 profiles measured

How we calculate this

How this area ranks

Data updated · 14 sources
OpportunityTop 39% of 3,116 ZIP areas measured59
Schools2,199th of 3,047 ZIP areas measured33
Growth2,130th of 3,124 ZIP areas measured41
Housing affordability2,277th of 3,112 ZIP areas measured56
ClimateTop 44% of 3,127 ZIP areas measured72
Physical resilienceTop 21% of 3,127 ZIP areas measured81
AccessTop 43% of 3,127 ZIP areas measured94
Economic stabilityTop 36% of 3,127 ZIP areas measured62
The quick read

Unemployment is 3.4% and median household income $101,034, putting employment conditions in the middle range of ZIP areas measured. The unemployment rate is published for Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, rather than for 22044 alone.

In the public schools here, 78% of students met the state standard in mathematics, with 14.9 students for every teacher.

3,174 housing units were authorized over the past twelve months, within 8% of the prior year — steady rather than turning. The permit count and 1 other measure here are published for Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, rather than for 22044 alone.

These sentences are written by fixed rules from the measurements below — a statement appears because a number crossed a stated threshold, and the values behind it are stored with it. No figure anywhere on this site is invented, estimated or inferred to fill a gap. How this works.

At a glance

Population
13,996
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$101,034
Top 18% nationally
Density
6,534/sq mi
2.1 sq mi of land
Median age
35.6
2024 ACS 5-Year
City
Lake Barcroft
Virginia
Nearest major airport
IAD
17 mi · Washington Dulles Intl
Median home value
$775,600
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment across Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, is 3.4%, lower than in 84% of the 3,127 measured US ZIP areas.

Employment across Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, fell 2.4% over the past year, to 616,156 employed residents.

50% of adults hold a four-year degree, higher than 87% of measured US ZIP areas.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Income of new arrivalsFairfax County, VA’s figurefiling years 2022–2023$104,96890th percentileof 2,996filing years 2022–2023
Income of those who leftFairfax County, VA’s figurefiling years 2022–2023$111,99093rd percentileof 2,996filing years 2022–2023
Median household income ±$10,6502024 ACS 5-Year$101,034Top 18%of 31,0492024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$4,4792024 ACS 5-Year$55,226Top 14%of 32,8222024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate ±5%2024 ACS 5-Year14.5%Bottom 32%of 32,8462024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute ±2.7 min2024 ACS 5-Year32.6 minBottom 26%of 32,8872024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year49.8%Top 13%of 33,1932024 ACS 5-Year
Drove alone to work ±4%2024 ACS 5-Year45.4%5th percentileof 32,7982024 ACS 5-Year
EmploymentLake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 2026616,156Top 6%of 3,127July 2026
Employment change (3 years)Lake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 2026−3.4%Bottom 10%of 3,127July 2026
Employment change (year over year)Lake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 2026−2.4%Bottom 14%of 3,127July 2026
Labor forceLake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 2026637,97594th percentileof 3,127July 2026
Labor force participation ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year85.5%Top 19%of 32,8832024 ACS 5-Year
Mean annual wageWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area’s figure2025 OEWS$91,930Top 4%of 2,7602025 OEWS
Median annual wageWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area’s figure2025 OEWS$71,060Top 5%of 2,7602025 OEWS
Public transit to work ±5%2024 ACS 5-Year11.3%97th percentileof 32,7982024 ACS 5-Year
Unemployment change (year over year)Lake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 2026+0.1%Bottom 39%of 3,127July 2026
Unemployment rateLake Barcroft, VA’s figureJuly 20263.4%Top 16%of 3,127July 2026
Worked from home ±4%2024 ACS 5-Year32.3%96th percentileof 32,7982024 ACS 5-Year

Median household income, successive ACS releases

2021202220232024101k84k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $101,034 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.

Largest occupations — Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

OccupationPeople employedMedian annual wage
General and Operations Managers112,530$156,460
Business Operations Specialists, All Other76,600$104,770
Software Developers69,060$154,930
Retail Salespersons66,920$36,610
Management Analysts62,360$126,830
Fast Food and Counter Workers60,560$34,600

Searches the 40 largest occupations here that have a published wage.

Occupational employment and wages are published for metropolitan areas rather than for individual cities or ZIP areas, so these describe the wider labor market this location sits in. 2025 OEWS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish labor-force data for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Lake Barcroft, VA, the city containing this ZIP code.

78% of students met the state standard in mathematics and 67% in reading, across the schools here that reported results.

There are 14.9 students for every full-time teacher across 3 public schools, fewer than in most measured places.

Public schools
3
2024-25 school year
Students per teacher
14.9
across all schools here
Math proficiency
78.4%
Bottom 33% in Virginia
Reading proficiency
67.0%
Bottom 15% in Virginia
All 3 public schools on record, largest first.
SchoolDistrictStudentsPer teacherMathReading
Justice HighFairfax County Public Schools2,35715.580%73%
Bailey's Upper Elementary School for the Arts and SciencesFairfax County Public Schools53913.868%45%
Sleepy Hollow ElementaryFairfax County Public Schools47513.282%62%

78.3% of students here are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. That describes the circumstances families arrive with, not how the schools perform, so it is shown and not scored.

Public schools only, from the NCES Common Core of Data, placed by ZIP code — which schools are in this place, not which one a particular address is zoned for. A dash in a proficiency column is a gap in the federal file, not a bad result. Proficiency is measured against Virginia’s own standard, so it is ranked within state. How to read school figures.

Prices for everything a household buys run about 10% above the national average — the Bureau of Economic Analysis index reads 109.5, against 100 for the nation. Nationally, housing drives most of the spread between places in this index; other goods vary far less.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s house price index for the Arlington-Alexandria-Reston, VA-WV Metropolitan Division is up 34% over five years, and up 2.6% over the last year. It follows repeat sales of the same homes, so it measures price change rather than which homes happened to sell.

Homeowners here who pay a tax bill pay a median of $7,298 a year in real estate taxes, about 0.94% of the median home value.

HUD’s Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom, set near the 40th percentile of recent new leases, is $2,080, some 14% above the $1,831 tenants already here pay.

At HUD’s Fair Market Rent of $2,080 a month for a two-bedroom, keeping rent to 30% of income takes a household income of about $83,200 a year, about 82% of the median household income here of $101,034.

The typical renter household here spends 27% of its income on rent, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened. Median gross rent runs $1,831 a month.

A median home at $775,600 costs 5.0 times the median income of its owner-occupied households, $154,167, well above the historic benchmark, at a level conventionally described as seriously unaffordable.

Cost of living
109.5

Prices here run about 10% above the national average. The spread between places is driven mostly by housing — goods vary far less — and this excludes taxes.

Published for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area as a whole. Prices are regional — people shop, commute and rent across a metropolitan area rather than within a city boundary — so this describes the cost of living around this place better than a figure drawn to its own limits would.

Rent as a share of income
27.3%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
5.0×
median home value ÷ owner household income
Market rent, two bedroom
$2,080
what a new lease costs · FY2026
Median gross rent
$1,831
what tenants now pay · 2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$775,600
2024 ACS 5-Year

The figures above are measured against 22044’s median household income of $101,034, which describes the place rather than you. Enter your own and the ratio is recomputed against it. It stays in this browser.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Cost of living indexthe Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV Metro Area’s figure2023109.5Bottom 18%of 2,7372023
Home price change (1 year)the Arlington-Alexandria-Reston, VA-WV Metropolitan Division’s figure2026 Q2+2.6%40th percentileof 3,0712026 Q2
Home price change (5 years)the Arlington-Alexandria-Reston, VA-WV Metropolitan Division’s figure2026 Q2+33.9%22nd percentileof 3,0712026 Q2
Home price change (10 years)the Arlington-Alexandria-Reston, VA-WV Metropolitan Division’s figure2026 Q2+67.3%10th percentileof 3,0712026 Q2
Home price to income ±0.62024 ACS 5-Year5.0Bottom 9%of 29,2752024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year49.9%9th percentileof 32,7502024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±3532024 ACS 5-Year5,56974th percentileof 33,4602024 ACS 5-Year
Market rent, one bedroomFY2026$1,870Bottom 18%of 3,031FY2026
Market rent, three bedroomFY2026$2,630Bottom 24%of 3,031FY2026
Market rent, two bedroomFY2026$2,080Bottom 23%of 3,031FY2026
Median gross rent ±$1132024 ACS 5-Year$1,831Bottom 11%of 26,3962024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$48,7042024 ACS 5-Year$775,60095th percentileof 30,8122024 ACS 5-Year
Median property taxes ±$1,1592024 ACS 5-Year$7,29896th percentileof 28,9352024 ACS 5-Year
Owner household income ±$15,1942024 ACS 5-Year$154,167Top 6%of 29,8022024 ACS 5-Year
Property tax rate ±0.16%2024 ACS 5-Year0.94%53rd percentileof 24,0992024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year27.3%Top 44%of 26,2472024 ACS 5-Year
Seasonal and second homes ±212024 ACS 5-Year01st percentileof 33,7722024 ACS 5-Year
Second homes2024 ACS 5-Year0.0%1st percentileof 32,9612024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate2024 ACS 5-Year2.3%16th percentileof 32,7882024 ACS 5-Year
Vacant housing units ±922024 ACS 5-Year12745th percentileof 33,7722024 ACS 5-Year

These measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with. They compare housing cost with local earnings only: transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not in them. How to read affordability, the two rent figures and the cost-of-living index.

Development Momentum

41/ 100
Ranks 2,130 of 3,124 published ZIP profiles

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

79% of the 3,174 units permitted over the past twelve months are in buildings of five or more homes, so new supply is concentrated in apartments and condominiums rather than detached houses. The multifamily share is published for Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, rather than for 22044 alone.

At 2.8 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is below the median for measured US ZIP areas. The permit rate is published for Lake Barcroft, VA, which contains 22044, rather than for 22044 alone.

Units permitted
3,174
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
2.8
Bottom 47% nationally
Year over year
−8%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
78.5%
units in 5+ unit buildings

People moving in and out

Net migration
−0.9%
of residents, in a year
Arrivals from another state
57%
of people moving in
Income of arrivals
$104,968
average per tax return
Income of those who left
$111,990
average per tax return

Where newcomers came from

  1. Alexandria city, VA 5,542 people · 8.6% of arrivals
  2. Arlington County, VA 5,460 people · 8.5% of arrivals
  3. Loudoun County, VA 4,676 people · 7.3% of arrivals
  4. Prince William County, VA 4,666 people · 7.3% of arrivals
  5. District of Columbia, DC 2,572 people · 4.0% of arrivals

Where people who left went

  1. Loudoun County, VA 7,977 people · 11% of departures
  2. Prince William County, VA 7,952 people · 11% of departures
  3. Alexandria city, VA 3,753 people · 5.1% of departures
  4. Arlington County, VA 3,653 people · 5.0% of departures
  5. Prince George's County, MD 1,799 people · 2.4% of departures

Based on the address on federal tax returns, compared with the same filers a year earlier. It counts people who file, and sees a move only when the address on a return changes. Domestic moves only: people arriving from abroad are left out. This is the figure for Fairfax County, VA. IRS Statistics of Income, filing years 2022–2023.

The Building Permits Survey is not published for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Lake Barcroft, VA, the city containing this ZIP code.

Weather & climate

6 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 90°F and January a low of 30°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 41.8 inches, including 13.7 inches of snow.

20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station WASHINGTON REAGAN AP, 6.5 miles from this location.

Precipitation

JFMAMJJASOND4.3"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
90th percentile air quality index2024 calendar year612024 calendar year
Annual precipitation1991-2020 Normals41.8"1991-2020 Normals
Annual snowfall1991-2020 Normals13.7"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low1991-2020 Normals30°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high1991-2020 Normals90°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months1991-2020 Normals61991-2020 Normals
Days above AQI 1002024 calendar year32024 calendar year
Median air quality index2024 calendar year422024 calendar year
Seasonal temperature swing1991-2020 Normals44°F1991-2020 Normals

Air quality

Median air quality index
42
Good on a typical day
Worst tenth of days
61
90th percentile index
Days above 100
3
unhealthy for sensitive groups

A comfortable median and a bad tail are different problems. Wildfire smoke and summer ozone show up in the worst tenth of days, not in the middle of the year.

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. Air quality is measured by EPA monitors and published by county only where a monitor sits; a county without one shows nothing rather than an estimate, and a county reading is still the county’s. How to read climate and air quality.

Physical risk

81 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, hurricane and heat wave, with inland flooding alone responsible for 71% of it. Inland flooding and heat wave are independently rated low or minimal nationally, so this describes how the loss is composed, not how large those hazards are.

Overall hazard risk is lower than 79% of measured US ZIP areas.

HurricaneModerate
Cold waveModerate
LandslideModerate
DroughtModerate

Low or minimal exposure: lightning, winter weather, heat wave, inland flooding, strong wind, hail, earthquake, ice storm, tornado, coastal flooding, wildfire, tsunami, volcanic activity, avalanche.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. ZIP values are the land-area-weighted mean of the counties the ZIP Code Tabulation Area intersects. Expected annual loss is not allocated below county level. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

These are deaths, not offenses — they say nothing about burglary, theft or assault.

Homicide
1.9
per 100,000 residents
Firearm deaths, all intents
4.6
per 100,000 residents
Drug overdose
6.4
per 100,000 residents
Suicide
7.9
per 100,000 residents

Firearm deaths count every intent together, and nationally the majority are suicides rather than homicides, so the firearm figure and the homicide figure above it count some of the same deaths twice over. They overlap and should not be added together.

Death rates are crude rates — deaths divided by population, not adjusted for age — except where a count was too small for the CDC to publish and it modeled the rate, which the card marks. They come from provisional death certificate records, published by the CDC by county and not below it. So they describe the county around 22044 (Fairfax County) rather than 22044 itself. They are shown and not scored. How to read death rates.

What this profile does not cover

Each of these is absent for a reason, not by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them; the weighting is on the methodology page.

Reported crime
Offenses reported to police are published by department rather than by town, so AreaProfile shows a rate only on city profiles, and only where that city’s department submitted every month of a year. A ZIP area is not a jurisdiction, so no department reports for one. Lake Barcroft carries the figure where its department reported a full year. A partial year is never scaled up to look complete, and arrest counts or news volume are never substituted for it.
Taxes
Income and sales taxes are not published: no source covers them nationally with a method open enough to check. Property taxes are shown in the housing section but are not part of the score. The cost-of-living index above is a price level for all consumption, not a household budget, and it excludes taxes. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Anything about a specific address
Every figure describes an area, not a street or a house.

Access

5 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest Washington Dulles Intl at 17 miles.

MetricValueCompared nationallySource period
Broadband access ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year92.6%Top 33%of 32,6632024 ACS 5-Year
Distance to major airportNASR current cycle17 miTop 49%of 3,127NASR current cycle
Major airports within 100 milesNASR current cycle5Top 44%of 3,127NASR current cycle
No internet access ±4%2024 ACS 5-Year5.4%Top 35%of 32,6632024 ACS 5-Year
AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Washington Dulles IntlIAD17 mi11,500 ft
Baltimore/Washington Intl Thurgood MarshallBWI34 mi10,503 ft
Dover AFBDOV93 mi9,602 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
60
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource period
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)
Demographics, IncomeInternal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division
U.S. Population Migration Data (county to county)
filing years 2022–2023
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 Normals
HousingU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Regional price parities and county personal income
2023
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
July 2026
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
2025 OEWS
Access, Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-Year
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026
SafetyU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
Provisional county-level mortality by intent
March 2025 to February 2026; May 2025 to April 2026
SchoolsU.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Common Core of Data and EDFacts assessments
2018-19 school year; 2024-25 school year
HousingU.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research
Fair Market Rents
FY2026
ClimateU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Quality System
Daily Air Quality Index by county
2024 calendar year
HousingU.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency
House Price Index (traditional, all-transactions)
2026 Q2
Current conditionsNOAA National Weather Service
National Weather Service current conditions
Live observation, read when the page opens

Profile recalculated October 8, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology, or every source with how often each updates.

22044 vs Lake Barcroft

How this ZIP area compares with Lake Barcroft as a whole. Both figures come from the same ACS release, so the comparison is like for like — a gap here is a real difference between the two places, not two surveys disagreeing.

22044
Lake Barcroft
Median household income: Lake Barcroft is the more favorable of the two.
Median household income
$101,034
vs
$140,882
Per capita income: Lake Barcroft is the more favorable of the two.
Per capita income
$55,226
vs
$72,852
Population density
6,534/sq mi
vs
4,510/sq mi
Median home value
$775,600
vs
$887,300
Median gross rent: 22044 is the more favorable of the two.
Median gross rent
$1,831
vs
$1,923
Homeownership rate
49.9%
vs
68.4%
Bachelor's degree or higher: Lake Barcroft is the more favorable of the two.
Bachelor's degree or higher
49.8%
vs
65.1%
Poverty rate: Lake Barcroft is the more favorable of the two.
Poverty rate
14.5%
vs
5.3%
Median age
35.6
vs
40.7

Some demographic statistics use Census ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, which approximate but do not exactly match USPS ZIP delivery geography. See the methodology for how AreaProfile maps between them.