Vernal, UT

Metro Area Profile

37,056 residents. Jobs, income, development, climate and physical risk across the Vernal, UT metropolitan area.

Area Score unavailable

Missing required signal: opportunity. AreaProfile withholds a score rather than inferring the missing dimensions.

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
GrowthTop 5% of 821 published metros81
Housing affordability555th of 822 published metros88
Climate776th of 822 published metros53
Physical resilienceTop 23% of 822 published metros74
Access695th of 822 published metros54
Economic stabilityTop 42% of 822 published metros57
The quick read

Development activity is both elevated and accelerating — 158 housing units permitted over the past twelve months, up 52% on the prior year.

Rent takes 15% of median household income here, below the 30% threshold conventionally called cost-burdened, and the median home is 4.0 times that income.

Natural-hazard exposure is lower than in most comparable published metro profiles, placing Vernal in the top 23% for physical resilience.

At a glance

Population
37,056
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$73,746
Top 30% nationally
Density
8/sq mi
4482.9 sq mi of land
Median age
33.2
2024 ACS 5-Year
County
Metro area
Vernal, UT
Nearest major airport
PUC
74 mi · Carbon County Rgnl/Buck Davis Fld
Median home value
$298,600
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$3,902$73,746Top 30%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$2,244$31,623Bottom 25%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate11.8%Bottom 32%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute21.6 minBottom 25%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher16.8%Bottom 9%2024 ACS 5-Year
Labor force participation60.9%Top 46%2024 ACS 5-Year

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $941 takes 15% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 4.0 times median household income here, above the historic benchmark of about three times income.

Rent as a share of income
15.3%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
4.0×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$941
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$298,600
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income4.05Top 26%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate73.5%Top 28%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±3813,838Bottom 11%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$32$941Bottom 45%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$14,459$298,600Top 25%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income15.3%Bottom 13%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate12.2%Top 46%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
81/ 100
Top 5% of 821 published city profiles
Permitting is increasing, measured from 2024 to 2025.

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

Population has grown 7% since 2020, reaching 38,307 in 2024.

Population is still rising, but more slowly than in the preceding year.

At 4.3 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is above the median for measured US metros.

Units permitted
158
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
4.3
Top 30% nationally
Year over year
+52%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
43.0%
units in 5+ unit buildings
Population, annual estimates
2020202120222023202438k36k
Census Population Estimates Program, July 1 of each year. These annual estimates are designed for year-over-year comparison, unlike the ACS five-year figure shown as this profile's population.

Weather & climate

5 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 91°F and January a low of 10°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 8.6 inches.

0°20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station VERNAL MUNICIPAL AP, 21.9 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND1.2"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation8.6"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low10°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high91°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months51991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing54°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today.

Physical risk

74 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are earthquake, wildfire and drought.

Overall hazard risk is lower than 100% of measured US metros.

WildfireElevated
EarthquakeHigh
DroughtModerate
Heat waveModerate

Low or minimal exposure: landslide, lightning, avalanche, winter weather, cold wave, inland flooding, ice storm, tornado, hail, strong wind.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. This value is the population-weighted mean of all component counties; expected annual loss is their sum. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Reported crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source for reported offences with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. What is published above under Safety is a different measurement — deaths rather than offences, from death certificates rather than police returns — and it covers no property crime at all.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

2 major airports lie within 100 miles, the nearest 74 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Carbon County Rgnl/Buck Davis FldPUC74 mi8,316 ft
Grand Junction RgnlGJT87 mi9,339 ft
Southwest Wyoming RgnlRKS104 mi10,002 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.

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