St. Paul vs White Bear Lake

Which is the better fit for you?

St. Paul, MN
56
Area Score
Bottom 38% nationally
White Bear Lake, MN
58
Area Score
Bottom 48% nationally

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White Bear Lake receives the higher standardized Area Score. That reflects AreaProfile's weighting, not a judgment about which place is better to live in.

If you are moving

What the difference in prices, rent, homes and weather comes to, using the published figures for the two places. Add your income to see what it would take to keep pace.

Moving from St. Paul to White Bear Lake

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Everyday prices
About the same
Regional price level 104.3 against 104.3 (US = 100). Both places sit in the same price region, so the index cannot tell them apart.
Income to keep the same purchasing power
Enter your household income to see it.
A new two-bedroom lease
The same
HUD benchmarks it at $1,709 in White Bear Lake against $1,709 in St. Paul.
The median home
13% more
$331,800 in White Bear Lake against $294,500 in St. Paul.
The weather you would swap
Similar winters
Normal January lows are 9°F in White Bear Lake against 9°F in St. Paul; July highs are 83°F against 83°F (summers the same).

These are differences between published figures, not a forecast of your budget. Income and sales taxes, commuting, schools, insurance and the job you would actually get are not in them, and a price index describes a metropolitan area, so two places in one metro read the same. HUD’s rent is a benchmark for a new lease, not a listing.

Signals

St. Paul
White Bear Lake
Opportunity: St. Paul is the more favorable of the two.
Opportunity
43 · Bottom 23%
vs
38 · Bottom 14%
Growth: St. Paul is the more favorable of the two.
Growth
34 · Bottom 21%
vs
13 · Bottom 2%
Climate
55 · Bottom 5%
vs
55 · Bottom 5%
Physical resilience: St. Paul is the more favorable of the two.
Physical resilience
93 · Top 7%
vs
90 · Top 11%
Housing affordability: St. Paul is the more favorable of the two.
Housing affordability
73 · Top 32%
vs
71 · Top 36%
Schools: White Bear Lake is the more favorable of the two.
Schools
18 · Bottom 10%
vs
69 · Top 26%
Access: St. Paul is the more favorable of the two.
Access
97 · Top 31%
vs
93 · Top 49%
Economic stability: White Bear Lake is the more favorable of the two.
Economic stability
51 · Bottom 37%
vs
72 · Top 21%

Measured values

MetricSt. PaulWhite Bear LakeSource period
Population307,28423,9082024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income$73,394$83,554 — more favorable2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income$42,815$46,608 — more favorable2024 ACS 5-Year
Population density5,912/sq mi2,972/sq mi2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value$294,500$331,8002024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent$1,281 — more favorable$1,6012024 ACS 5-Year
Market rent, two bedroom$1,709$1,709FY2026
Cost of living index104.3104.32023
Homeownership rate52.9%67.8%2024 ACS 5-Year
Unemployment rate4.6% — more favorable5.2%July 2026
Employment change (year over year)−2.1%−2.1%July 2026
Bachelor's degree or higher — the two are too close to separate43.8% ±1%41.7% ±3%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate14.7%6.8% — more favorable2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units permitted (12 months)437612 months ending July 2026
Permits per 1,000 residents1.4 — more favorable0.312 months ending July 2026
Permit change (year over year)+46.6%−50.0%12 months ending July 2026
Average July high83°F83°F1991-2020 Normals
Average January low9°F9°F1991-2020 Normals
Annual precipitation29.2"29.2"1991-2020 Normals
Distance to major airport7 mi — more favorable16 miNASR current cycle
Average commute — the two are too close to separate22.8 min ±0.4 min23.3 min ±1.1 min2024 ACS 5-Year
Median age33.741.92024 ACS 5-Year
Public schools141262024-25 school year
Students per teacher15.114.3 — more favorable2024-25 school year
Math proficiency37.3%61.5% — more favorable2018-19 school year
Reading proficiency44.9%65.4% — more favorable2018-19 school year
Free or reduced-price lunch eligibility66.4%31.1%2024-25 school year

A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.

2 rows above show both figures with a ± margin and neither in bold. Those come from the American Community Survey, which samples rather than counts, and the gap between the two is smaller than the uncertainty on the figures themselves — so the survey did not find a difference to report, and calling either one the winner would be reading a result out of noise.

The number of units permitted is not marked because the larger place always permits more; the per-resident rate is the fair comparison. The year-over-year change is not marked either: a percentage on fewer than 300 units swings on a handful of permits.

Physical risk tradeoff

St. Paul

Elevated or high exposure: hail.

White Bear Lake

Elevated or high exposure: hail.

Your best match

Weight what matters to you. Your preferences stay in this browser and never change either Area Score.

St. Paul
—
St. Paul: Your Score
56
Area Score
White Bear Lake
—
White Bear Lake: Your Score
58
Area Score

Select your priorities to see which of the two fits them better.

Full profiles: St. Paul, MN · White Bear Lake, MN · How this is calculated: methodology