85621Nogales, Arizona

Area Profile

Income, jobs, climate, physical risk and development data for ZIP code 85621.

45out of 100
Area Score
Bottom 5% of 5,298 published profiles

How we calculate this

How this area ranks
Opportunity5930th of 6,210 published ZIP areas24
Growth4163rd of 5,428 published ZIP areas34
Housing affordability3574th of 6,685 published ZIP areas78
ClimateTop 24% of 6,789 published ZIP areas77
Physical resilience5235th of 6,709 published ZIP areas27
Access6205th of 6,791 published ZIP areas65
Economic stability6334th of 6,742 published ZIP areas27
The quick read

Employment conditions sit below most comparable published ZIP profiles: unemployment is 7.5% and the Opportunity signal places 85621 in the bottom 5%.

Residential permitting has slowed: 7 units authorized over the past twelve months, 22% below the prior year.

Physical-risk exposure is above the national median, driven mainly by inland flooding, wildfire and strong wind.

At a glance

Population
21,593
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median household income
$43,464
Bottom 8% nationally
Density
76/sq mi
284.9 sq mi of land
Median age
36.6
2024 ACS 5-Year
City
Nogales
Arizona
Metro area
Nogales, AZ
Nearest major airport
TUS
50 mi · Tucson Intl
Median home value
$193,200
2024 ACS 5-Year

Jobs & opportunity

Unemployment of 7.5% is lower than 2% of the 6,544 measured US ZIP areas.

Employment fell 1.5% over the past year, to 19,311 employed residents.

Median household income of $43,464 is below 92% of measured US ZIP areas.

MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Median household income ±$3,201$43,464Bottom 8%2024 ACS 5-Year
Per capita income ±$1,811$22,016Bottom 8%2024 ACS 5-Year
Poverty rate27.3%Top 9%2024 ACS 5-Year
Average commute20.2 minBottom 14%2024 ACS 5-Year
Bachelor's degree or higher17.6%Bottom 33%2024 ACS 5-Year
Employment19,311Bottom 18%June 2026
Employment change (3 years)1.4%Top 31%June 2026
Employment change (year over year)-1.5%Bottom 34%June 2026
Labor force20,873Bottom 19%June 2026
Labor force participation56.4%Bottom 35%2024 ACS 5-Year
Unemployment change (year over year)0.9%Top 7%June 2026
Unemployment rate7.5%Top 2%June 2026
Median household income, successive ACS releases
202120222023202443k33k
Each point is a separate five-year estimate, most recently $43,464 in the 2024 ACS 5-Year. Consecutive releases share four years of sample, so AreaProfile shows them as a record of successive estimates and does not compute a year-over-year change from them.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish labor-force data for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Nogales, AZ, the city containing this ZIP code.

There are 18.2 students for every full-time teacher, more than in most measured places.

Public schools
17
2024-25 school year
Students per teacher
18.2
across all schools here
Math proficiency
Reading proficiency
SchoolDistrictStudentsPer teacherMathReading
Nogales High SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)1,77423.7
Desert Shadows Middle SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)78423.1
Wade Carpenter Middle SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)54721.9
Francisco Vasquez De Coronado Elementary SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)50819.5
Lincoln Elementary SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)42117.5
Mary L Welty Elementary SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)38120.1
Challenger Elementary SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)38015.8
A J Mitchell Elementary SchoolNogales Unified District (4457)30116.7
Robert Bracker ElementaryNogales Unified District (4457)27217.0
Colegio Petite Arizona · charterKaizen Education Foundation dba Colegio Petite Pho (92989)25816.1
Mexicayotl Charter School · charterMexicayotl Academy Inc. (4463)16812.0
Little Red SchoolhouseSanta Cruz Elementary District (4459)13114.6

Public schools only, from the NCES Common Core of Data. Schools are placed by ZIP code, so this is which schools are in this place rather than which one a particular address is zoned for — district boundaries do not follow municipal ones, and enrollment zones change. Fully virtual schools are excluded: they enroll students from across the state while reporting one administrative address, and counting them here would describe a school population this place does not have. The assessment covers grades 3 through 8, so a high school shows no proficiency figure — a dash in those columns means the test was not given at that school, not that it performed badly. Proficiency is measured against Arizona’s own standard, so it compares cleanly within the state and only broadly against other states; AreaProfile therefore ranks it within state. The directory is current, while the proficiency figures are from the last school year with national coverage before the pandemic interrupted testing.

Housing & affordability

How it’s calculated →

Median rent of $745 takes 21% of median household income, below the 30% threshold at which a household is considered cost-burdened.

A median home costs 4.4 times median household income here, above the historic benchmark of about three times income.

Rent as a share of income
20.6%
Below the 30% cost-burdened threshold
Home price to income
4.4×
median home value ÷ median income
Median gross rent
$745
2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value
$193,200
2024 ACS 5-Year
MetricValueCompared with peersSource period
Home price to income4.45Top 22%2024 ACS 5-Year
Homeownership rate49.8%Bottom 9%2024 ACS 5-Year
Housing units ±3958,218Top 20%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median gross rent ±$48$745Bottom 17%2024 ACS 5-Year
Median home value ±$26,105$193,200Bottom 42%2024 ACS 5-Year
Rent as a share of income20.6%Top 32%2024 ACS 5-Year
Vacancy rate12.6%Top 45%2024 ACS 5-Year

Both affordability measures come from the same ACS release as the income they are compared with, so the comparison is like for like. They describe housing cost against local earnings and are not a cost-of-living index — transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes are not included, and a place can look affordable here and still be expensive to live in for reasons this does not capture.

Growth & development

How it’s calculated →
Development Momentum
34/ 100
Ranks 4163 of 5,428 published city profiles

An AreaProfile calculation combining permit volume per resident, its direction over one and three years, population change and employment growth. Permit volume alone is not the measure.

New construction is predominantly single-family: only 0% of permitted units are in buildings of five or more homes.

At 0.4 permitted units per 1,000 residents, building activity is below the median for measured US ZIP areas.

Units permitted
7
12 months ending July 2026
Per 1,000 residents
0.4
Bottom 13% nationally
Year over year
−22%
vs the prior twelve months
Multifamily share
0.0%
units in 5+ unit buildings

The Building Permits Survey is not published for ZIP areas. This is the figure for Nogales, AZ, the city containing this ZIP code.

Weather & climate

8 of the twelve months have a normal average temperature between 55°F and 80°F. July averages a high of 94°F and January a low of 34°F.

Normal annual precipitation is 14.6 inches.

20°40°60°80°100°JFMAMJJASOND
Solid line: normal daily high. Dashed line: normal daily low. 1991-2020 normals from NOAA station NOGALES INTL AP, 3.9 miles from this location.
Precipitation
JFMAMJJASOND4.2"
Normal monthly precipitation, in inches.
MetricValueSource period
Annual precipitation14.6"1991-2020 Normals
Average January low34°F1991-2020 Normals
Average July high94°F1991-2020 Normals
Comfortable months81991-2020 Normals
Seasonal temperature swing31°F1991-2020 Normals

Climate figures are thirty-year normals, not current conditions. They describe what a typical year looks like rather than what the weather is doing today.

Physical risk

27 / 100
Physical resilience

The hazards accounting for most of this area's expected annual loss are inland flooding, wildfire and strong wind.

WildfireHigh
Inland floodingElevated
LandslideModerate
AvalancheModerate
Strong windModerate

Low or minimal exposure: heat wave, lightning, drought, earthquake, winter weather, hurricane, hail, tornado.

Hazard ratings are AreaProfile calculations derived from the FEMA National Risk Index v1.20.0 (December 2025). FEMA publishes at county level. ZIP values are the land-area-weighted mean of the counties the ZIP Code Tabulation Area intersects. Expected annual loss is not allocated below county level. FEMA does not endorse this presentation. Higher physical resilience means lower exposure.

What this profile does not cover

Three things people look for are missing from every AreaProfile page, and each is missing for a reason rather than by oversight. The Area Score is calculated without them and the weighting is documented on the methodology page.

Crime
The FBI’s Crime Data Explorer is the only source with national coverage and a published method, and it requires an API key AreaProfile does not hold. Arrest counts, news volume and commercial “safety scores” are not substituted in the meantime. Reported crime is also easy to misread: agency participation varies year to year, and a city that draws a large daytime workforce carries incidents its residents did not generate.
Taxes
No tax dataset has met the source admission test for coverage, transparent methodology and update cadence. Nothing here is individualized tax advice.
Full cost of living
No public source publishes one with national coverage and a documented method. Housing affordability above is computed from published rent, price and income, and excludes transport, groceries, healthcare, insurance and taxes — commuting cost in particular tends to offset suburban housing savings.

Access

1 major airport lies within 100 miles, the nearest 50 miles away.

AirportCodeDistanceLongest runway
Tucson IntlTUS50 mi10,996 ft
Mesa GatewayIWA140 mi10,401 ft
Phoenix Sky Harbor IntlPHX156 mi11,489 ft

Airport identity, position and runway data come from the FAA. “Major airport” is an AreaProfile classification — a public-use civil airport with a paved runway of at least 8,000 feet — not an FAA hub designation. Distances are straight-line, not driving distance.

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Area Score
45
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Data & methodology

Used forSourceSource periodUpdated
AccessFederal Aviation Administration
Airports (NASR) — Aeronautical Data Delivery Service
NASR current cycle28-day NASR cycle
Physical riskFederal Emergency Management Agency
National Risk Index
National Risk Index December 2025 (v1.20.0)Periodic dataset versions (v1.20.0 current)
ClimateNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (Monthly)
1991-2020 NormalsEvery ten years (next release follows the 2001–2030 period)
JobsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Local Area Unemployment Statistics
June 2026Monthly
DemographicsU.S. Census Bureau
Population Estimates Program
July 1, 2024 estimateAnnual (vintage released each spring)
DevelopmentU.S. Census Bureau
Building Permits Survey
12 months ending July 2026Monthly, roughly three weeks after the reference month
Demographics, Housing, Income, JobsU.S. Census Bureau
American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (Table-Based Summary File)
2024 ACS 5-YearAnnual (5-year estimates released each December)
schoolsU.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Common Core of Data and EDFacts assessments
2024-25 school yearDirectory annually; assessment results as EDFacts releases them

Profile recalculated August 30, 2026. Recalculation is not the same as new source data — each figure above shows the period its source actually covers. Read the full methodology or browse every source.

85621 vs Nogales

How this ZIP area compares with Nogales as a whole. Both figures come from the same ACS release, so the comparison is like for like.

85621
Nogales
Median household income
$43,464
vs
$43,214
Per capita income
$22,016
vs
$21,824
Population density
76/sq mi
vs
953/sq mi
Median home value
$193,200
vs
$186,300
Median gross rent
$745
vs
$737
Homeownership rate
49.8%
vs
49.4%
Bachelor's degree or higher
17.6%
vs
17.6%
Poverty rate
27.3%
vs
28.0%
Median age
36.6
vs
36.4

Some demographic statistics use Census ZIP Code Tabulation Areas, which approximate but do not exactly match USPS ZIP delivery geography. See the methodology for how AreaProfile maps between them.