Signals
Nogales
Bay City
Growth
74 · Top 12%
vs54 · Top 43%
Climate
77 · Top 11%
vs81 · Top 5%
Physical resilience
27 · Bottom 16%
vs18 · Bottom 7%
Housing affordability
86 · Bottom 28%
vs94 · Top 50%
Access
71 · Bottom 40%
vs69 · Bottom 37%
Economic stability
28 · Bottom 18%
vs27 · Bottom 16%
Measured values
| Metric | Nogales | Bay City | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 48,926 | 36,329 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $55,217 | $58,628 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $26,237 | $32,494 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 40/sq mi | 33/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $233,000 | $172,900 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $829 | $999 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 69.3% | 68.1% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 23.1% | 22.2% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 20.2% | 20.7% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Housing units permitted (12 months) | 351 | 221 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permits per 1,000 residents | 7.2 | 6.1 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permit change (year over year) | -5.1% | -13.3% | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Average July high | 94°F | 92°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 34°F | 46°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 14.6" | 43.1" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 41 mi | 56 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 26.0 min | 26.3 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 37.9 | 37.8 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Physical risk tradeoff
Nogales
Elevated or high exposure: wildfire, inland flooding.
Bay City
Elevated or high exposure: hurricane, drought.
Full profiles: Nogales, AZ Micro Area · Bay City, TX Micro Area · How this is calculated: methodology