Tucson receives the higher standardized Area Score. That reflects AreaProfile's weighting, not a judgment about which place is better to live in.
Signals
Merced
Tucson
Opportunity
38 · Bottom 16%
vs30 · Bottom 7%
Growth
55 · Top 41%
vs58 · Top 37%
Climate
72 · Top 30%
vs64 · Bottom 45%
Physical resilience
11 · Bottom 4%
vs18 · Bottom 7%
Housing affordability
57 · Bottom 4%
vs76 · Bottom 18%
Access
70 · Bottom 38%
vs73 · Bottom 44%
Economic stability
46 · Bottom 43%
vs47 · Bottom 45%
Measured values
| Metric | Merced | Tucson | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 290,201 | 1,060,490 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $65,510 | $70,315 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $28,030 | $40,140 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 150/sq mi | 115/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $391,800 | $319,700 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $1,343 | $1,212 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 54.0% | 65.2% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Unemployment rate | 9.2% | 5.7% | June 2026 |
| Employment change (year over year) | 0.4% | -4.8% | June 2026 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 15.3% | 36.8% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Housing units permitted (12 months) | 537 | 4,790 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permits per 1,000 residents | 1.9 | 4.5 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permit change (year over year) | -7.6% | 5.2% | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Average July high | 96°F | 99°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 36°F | 41°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 10.4" | 11.1" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 56 mi | 49 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 31.5 min | 26.0 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 31.8 | 39.8 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Physical risk tradeoff
Merced
Elevated or high exposure: drought, earthquake, heat wave.
Tucson
Elevated or high exposure: wildfire, inland flooding.
Full profiles: Merced, CA Metro Area · Tucson, AZ Metro Area · How this is calculated: methodology