Signals
Manchester
Warrenton
Opportunity
52 · Bottom 42%
vs57 · Top 48%
Climate
75 · Top 28%
vs74 · Top 31%
Physical resilience
78 · Top 26%
vs71 · Top 35%
Housing affordability
77 · Bottom 44%
vs68 · Bottom 31%
Access
93 · Top 46%
vs88 · Bottom 36%
Economic stability
64 · Top 42%
vs64 · Top 43%
Measured values
| Metric | Manchester | Warrenton | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 12,445 | 10,176 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $80,296 | $83,331 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $41,707 | $42,612 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 2,100/sq mi | 2,323/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $317,000 | $478,300 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $1,558 | $1,418 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 59.6% | 63.0% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Unemployment rate | 3.8% | 3.2% | June 2026 |
| Employment change (year over year) | -2.1% | -2.8% | June 2026 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 39.7% | 46.1% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 12.7% | 9.7% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Average July high | 90°F | 88°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 29°F | 25°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 45.5" | 43.2" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 12 mi | 24 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 23.8 min | 32.6 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 34.5 | 40.2 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Physical risk tradeoff
Manchester
Elevated or high exposure: earthquake.
Warrenton
No hazard reaches elevated exposure.
Your best match
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Manchester
73
Your Score
—
Area Score
Warrenton
68
Your Score
65
Area Score
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Full profiles: Manchester, VA · Warrenton, VA · How this is calculated: methodology