Signals
Bull Run
Frederick
Opportunity
52 · Bottom 41%
vs64 · Top 33%
Climate
74 · Top 31%
vs71 · Top 49%
Physical resilience
71 · Top 34%
vs89 · Top 13%
Housing affordability
62 · Bottom 23%
vs78 · Bottom 47%
Access
96 · Top 33%
vs82 · Bottom 24%
Economic stability
68 · Top 35%
vs70 · Top 29%
Measured values
| Metric | Bull Run | Frederick | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 16,859 | 83,395 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $89,679 | $97,069 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $41,221 | $49,823 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 6,462/sq mi | 3,480/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $413,500 | $401,500 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $2,002 | $1,764 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 33.3% | 58.8% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Unemployment rate | 3.7% | 3.6% | June 2026 |
| Employment change (year over year) | -3.0% | -1.7% | June 2026 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 39.5% | 43.2% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 13.7% | 9.2% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Average July high | 88°F | 87°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 25°F | 25°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 43.2" | 35.6" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 12 mi | 34 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 34.0 min | 32.1 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 33.1 | 37.1 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Full profiles: Bull Run, VA · Frederick, MD · How this is calculated: methodology