85388 and 85338 receive effectively the same standardized Area Score. Which fits you better depends on which dimensions you weight — the differences below are where they actually diverge.
Signals
85388
85338
Opportunity
47 · Bottom 34%
vs44 · Bottom 28%
Growth
73 · Top 12%
vs76 · Top 8%
Climate
58 · Bottom 10%
vs59 · Bottom 12%
Physical resilience
47 · Bottom 37%
vs47 · Bottom 37%
Housing affordability
76 · Bottom 44%
vs75 · Bottom 42%
Access
97 · Top 25%
vs99 · Top 15%
Economic stability
81 · Top 9%
vs75 · Top 21%
Measured values
| Metric | 85388 | 85338 | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 35,369 | 67,451 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $112,164 | $101,744 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $43,790 | $41,070 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 2,754/sq mi | 887/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $459,900 | $436,300 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $2,155 | $1,918 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 81.9% | 77.3% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Unemployment rate | 5.2% | 5.5% | June 2026 |
| Employment change (year over year) | -3.9% | -3.9% | June 2026 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 31.9% | 33.2% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Housing units permitted (12 months) | 2,428 | 2,148 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permits per 1,000 residents | 15.7 | 20.0 | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Permit change (year over year) | -34.3% | -14.0% | 12 months ending July 2026 |
| Average July high | 104°F | 107°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 44°F | 46°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 8.9" | 7.2" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 13 mi | 4 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 33.4 min | 32.7 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 36.9 | 39.2 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Public schools | 12 | 20 | 2024-25 school year |
| Students per teacher | 23.21 | 21.88 | 2024-25 school year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Physical risk tradeoff
85388
Elevated or high exposure: inland flooding.
85338
Elevated or high exposure: inland flooding.
Full profiles: 85388 — Surprise, AZ · 85338 — Goodyear, AZ · How this is calculated: methodology