Signals
Warrenton
Bull Run
Opportunity
57 · Top 48%
vs52 · Bottom 41%
Climate
74 · Top 31%
vs74 · Top 31%
Physical resilience
71 · Top 35%
vs71 · Top 34%
Housing affordability
68 · Bottom 31%
vs62 · Bottom 23%
Access
88 · Bottom 36%
vs96 · Top 33%
Economic stability
64 · Top 43%
vs68 · Top 35%
Measured values
| Metric | Warrenton | Bull Run | Source period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 10,176 | 16,859 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median household income | $83,331 | $89,679 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Per capita income | $42,612 | $41,221 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Population density | 2,323/sq mi | 6,462/sq mi | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median home value | $478,300 | $413,500 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median gross rent | $1,418 | $2,002 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Homeownership rate | 63.0% | 33.3% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Unemployment rate | 3.2% | 3.7% | June 2026 |
| Employment change (year over year) | -2.8% | -3.0% | June 2026 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher | 46.1% | 39.5% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Poverty rate | 9.7% | 13.7% | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Average July high | 88°F | 88°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Average January low | 25°F | 25°F | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Annual precipitation | 43.2" | 43.2" | 1991-2020 Normals |
| Distance to major airport | 24 mi | 12 mi | NASR current cycle |
| Average commute | 32.6 min | 34.0 min | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
| Median age | 40.2 | 33.1 | 2024 ACS 5-Year |
A bolded value is the more favorable of the two where the metric has a clear direction. Metrics like population and density have no inherent better or worse and are shown unweighted.
Full profiles: Warrenton, VA · Bull Run, VA · How this is calculated: methodology